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Democratic Primaries

(35,819 posts)

7. Yes I guess we are

Fri Nov 29, 2019, 04:01 AM

Nov 2019

The former vice president came out 11 points ahead of runner-up Bernie Sanders.
More at the link
https://www.politico.com/news/2019/11/27/joe-biden-tops-new-poll-elizabeth-warren-slips-074159

RCP avg
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html#poll

✔
@NateSilver538
· Nov 25, 2019
FWIW, we're working on polling averages that account for house effects, weight polls based on quality, are pretty sophisticated about differentiating signal v. noise, etc.

Here's what they'd say right now:

National:
Biden 26.9
Warren 19.7
Sanders 16.7
Buttigieg 7.5

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Highlight:

Numbers in the poll Biden 25% Warren 19% sanders 17% mayor 12% Thekaspervote Nov 2019 #1

What the smoothed regression shows crazytown Nov 2019 #2

Maybe we were looking at different graphs crazytown Nov 2019 #6

Yes I guess we are Thekaspervote Nov 2019 #7

Your headline misrepresents the status of the frontrunners. democratisphere Nov 2019 #3

Doesn't it thou! Thekaspervote Nov 2019 #4