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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

still_one

(91,937 posts)
38. I agree. I just think it isn't as likely if Biden runs. I think most of the Hillary supporters
Fri Feb 22, 2019, 11:52 PM
Feb 2019

Last edited Sat Feb 23, 2019, 10:09 AM - Edit history (1)

will vote for him in the primaries. I probably will

If he doesn’t run I would speculate the odds for a brokered convention will increase dramatically, and the odds also increase that we will have trouble making it in 2020

I think Biden has the best chance of capturing some red states along with the rust belt of all our candidates, and without some of those states, and the way the electoral college is setup the path to the WH is nearly impossible

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
If Biden gets in the race I don't think so. After Super Tuesday, I would speculate at most 3 to 4 still_one Feb 2019 #1
I think we'll be down to 3 or 4 (maybe 5) after Super Tuesday. But a tight 3-way race... Garrett78 Feb 2019 #9
I agree. I just think it isn't as likely if Biden runs. I think most of the Hillary supporters still_one Feb 2019 #38
I would vote for Biden. Demsrule86 Feb 2019 #43
Stop this pot stirring already. It's VERY unlikely to happen SFnomad Feb 2019 #2
The vast majority will have dropped out before the convention. That's a given. But... Garrett78 Feb 2019 #7
It's no less possible than is has been in the last 40 years ... and it's NEVER happened yet SFnomad Feb 2019 #10
2020 will be the 1st time ever that superdelegates can't vote on the 1st ballot. Garrett78 Feb 2019 #15
FFS, I didn't miss the rule change, the first round doesn't include Superdelegates SFnomad Feb 2019 #19
If only 2026 is required, that does help. But in a tight 3-way race... Garrett78 Feb 2019 #23
You are making a big deal over something that has not happened to Democrats in nearly 70 years SFnomad Feb 2019 #24
Again, making a post or engaging in discussion is not synonymous with "making a big deal." Garrett78 Feb 2019 #25
The "brand new" rules are the roughly the same rules for the first round that we had, before we SFnomad Feb 2019 #26
You've made a bigger deal out of this than I ever intended. Garrett78 Feb 2019 #27
For someone that never intended to make a big deal out of this, you replied to SFnomad Feb 2019 #28
I never said it was likely, just that there's a "decent chance." Garrett78 Feb 2019 #29
There isn't a "decent chance" either. Outside chance ... at most. And only if SFnomad Feb 2019 #30
I'll let your 8th post of the thread go without a reply. Peace. Garrett78 Feb 2019 #31
And that's like your 12th or 13th reply of the night ... buh bye SFnomad Feb 2019 #32
Jeeze! I gotta give you props, Garrett.. Cha Feb 2019 #34
Thanks, Cha. It's all good. Garrett78 Feb 2019 #35
Yeah, 'cause you're Cool. Cha Feb 2019 #36
Lets take a look at the New Hampshire primary. CentralMass Feb 2019 #39
There are all sorts of headlines (CNN, WSJ, NYT, The Guardian, etc.) making it clear... Garrett78 Feb 2019 #40
There are many similar to those that I posted at news sites across the country. CentralMass Feb 2019 #42
No, there isn't a decent chance... brooklynite Feb 2019 #3
Of course most of the maybe 20 candidates will be gone by Super Tuesday, but in a close 3-way race.. Garrett78 Feb 2019 #6
We know you LOVE Superdelegates! nt USALiberal Feb 2019 #14
There may well be a brokered convention that goes beyond the first vote Gothmog Feb 2019 #4
How is this more power than ever before? aikoaiko Feb 2019 #5
Because they could actually determine the ultimate outcome. Garrett78 Feb 2019 #8
Couldn't they have done that before? aikoaiko Feb 2019 #21
The super delegates would then vote for the candidate that has the most delegates as Demsrule86 Feb 2019 #44
Then it is the candidate with the most delegates who wins...very doubtful there will be a tie. Demsrule86 Feb 2019 #45
Oh knock that off. Codeine Feb 2019 #11
+1 SFnomad Feb 2019 #12
It's not hysteria and I'm not saying it's likely. But... Garrett78 Feb 2019 #16
There isn't going to be a second ballot. Codeine Feb 2019 #18
While it may not be likely, it's more likely than you may think. Garrett78 Feb 2019 #22
Could you remind me of the rule change? I thought they were eliminated. LAS14 Feb 2019 #13
They weren't eliminated. They just can't vote on the 1st ballot. Garrett78 Feb 2019 #17
If it ends up with the superdelegates, that's what they are there for. CrossingTheRubicon Feb 2019 #20
Without Hillary in the race, it's unlikely to matter FBaggins Feb 2019 #33
There would never be a rule change making second ballot a "decent chance" Awsi Dooger Feb 2019 #37
I think you're right Renew Deal Feb 2019 #41
I think Kamala Harris is going to have a huge day on Super Tuesday.. honest.abe Feb 2019 #46
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