Democratic Primaries

Loki Liesmith

(4,602 posts)

2. Not enough samples per state to do that

Sun Dec 15, 2019, 12:13 PM

Dec 2019

Polls cost money and the cost scales poorly with the sample size (response rates are low so you must contact many more people than you wind up including in your sample).

A poll of each swing state would be ~10x the cost of a single state. So they do this instead. But the samples per state are too small to draw conclusions about those individual states.

It’s a bad practice.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Highlight:

CBS Battleground Tracker, Super Tuesday states: Biden 28%, Warren 25%, Sanders 20%, Buttieieg 9%, [View all] highplainsdem Dec 2019 OP

Huh... kenfrequed Dec 2019 #1

Not enough samples per state to do that Loki Liesmith Dec 2019 #2

That doesn't tell me much, really. MineralMan Dec 2019 #3

CBS News : What happened to IA/NH/NV/ SC Polls they always publish concurrently ? ritapria Dec 2019 #4

Expect CBS to release those results separately, to get more attention. highplainsdem Dec 2019 #5

Oh please. boomer_wv Dec 2019 #6

Blame the media, question the polls, rinse, lather, repeat as necessary. LanternWaste Dec 2019 #9

What Nat Silver thinks of polling battleground states as a group: highplainsdem Dec 2019 #7

KR! Cha Dec 2019 #8