*NEW* Morning Consult Poll: Bernie still #1 in favorability ratings!!!

[thesquanderer]

13. re: "What I see...is that if Warren leaves the race, then her 14% will most likely move to Sanders."

No... The poll says that 32% of her supporters move to Sanders (which means Sanders goes up by about 4-5 points).

The next biggest "second choice" candidate for Warren voters is Biden, who would get 22% of them (which would increase his numbers by 3 points).

Then 11% of them go to Buttigieg.

The remaining 35% are probably mostly up for grabs.

re:

if Buttigieg and Bloomberg leave the race, then their supporters (14%) will most likely move to Biden

Similarly, only about 25% of Buttigieg supporters currently say they would go to Biden, and 33% of Bloomberg's. But that's still a lot more than those saying they would go to Sanders.

re:

Adding in the support of other candidates when they withdraw, it looks like Biden is over 50% while Bernie tops out at 40%.

Even if those figures are right, it's not that simple. Like the electoral college, WHERE the votes are also matters. One could theoretically have fewer votes (nationally) yet still end up with more delegates.