Democratic Primaries

thesquanderer

(13,050 posts)

20. It was just the math.

Tue Dec 31, 2019, 06:25 PM

Dec 2019

e.g. you said "if Warren leaves the race, then her 14% will most likely move to Sanders" but the very poll we're talking about says that only 32% of her 14% say they'd go to Bernie. That's a big difference. Brevity is one thing, but the numbers should be in the ballpark. I thought maybe you just didn't scroll down far enough to see them on the poll page.

the most plausible way to get additional delegates will be for other candidates to drop out and for them to endorse a different candidate

That would certainly help, but if I were a candidate, I wouldn't count on that. Often, when people drop out, they don't endorse anyone; and even if they do, you can't assume all their supporters will follow.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Highlight:

*NEW* Morning Consult Poll: Bernie still #1 in favorability ratings!!! [View all] floppyboo Dec 2019 OP

Bernie Sanders Drops 7 Points In 2 Weeks With Early State Voters Gothmog Dec 2019 #1

Wow, that's quite a drop! R B Garr Dec 2019 #3

I guess when you're down, you lean hard into the People's Choice Awards of polling. BannonsLiver Dec 2019 #17

That would look pretty on a mantel... I suppose. NurseJackie Dec 2019 #19

Great! David__77 Dec 2019 #2

I'm glad that you found something in that poll that makes you happy. TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #4

Damn Straight!!! Never dropped from #1!!! WooHoo!!! floppyboo Dec 2019 #6

Except that he is #2 TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #7

Even is warren leaves the race it won't save him Thekaspervote Dec 2019 #9

I look at it this way: TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #12

A lot of Warren supporters won't support Sanders in the primary. W_HAMILTON Dec 2019 #14

I agree. TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #18

re: "What I see...is that if Warren leaves the race, then her 14% will most likely move to Sanders." thesquanderer Dec 2019 #13

I gave an overly-simplified version for brevity. TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #16

It was just the math. thesquanderer Dec 2019 #20

You're correct. TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #22

Favorability doesn't win elections. If it did Taylor Swift would be president. George II Dec 2019 #5

HaHaHa! TV ratings are so not in Bernie's playbook! floppyboo Dec 2019 #8

So you're touting a poll that shows... boomer_wv Dec 2019 #10

This poll is not good for sanders Gothmog Dec 2019 #11

"We're number two! We're number two!" LanternWaste Dec 2019 #15

An slipping!!! boomer_wv Dec 2019 #21

@BernieSanders ⁩ is at 10% with Black voters Gothmog Jan 2020 #23