Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: Bernie rose to 9% on DU preferences. [View all]karynnj
(59,498 posts)From memory, I have seen him at 8 all month. So, there is an uptick.
The link posted from a post below on this thread - contains this relevant passage:
" And there was another candidate on the move in December -- Bernie Sanders. Sanders started December on 7.84% and finishes half a percentage point up at 8.34%. This does not seem to be related to Kamala Harris dropping out -- he didn't receive a significant bump in the first week of December -- but Bernie has been slowly gaining ground for a while now."
Note that ENTIRE December interval would be shown as 8. It is an increase of 1/2 a point over December. With the current 9%, Bernie moved from 7.84% to some number in the interval (8.5 to 9.49). His January gain - so far - is at least .66 % (8.5 - 7.84). Given how the DU chart works, it is more likely that he just gained a new person who put him above 8.5. This means his total gain since December 1 is 1.16
It is also interesting that Biden gained 1.21 (14.63 - 13.42) in December. His percent still registers as 15 today, so the minimum Biden gain from December 1 until today is 1.08 (14.5 - 13.42) at a minimum.
Now, let's consider the political leanings of DU. Since it started, it has been more to the left and more progressive than the democratic base. That Sanders is at less than 20% of the decided DU 'voters' does not bode well for him. Warren has more than twice his share of DU and while he had a small gain and she has had a small decline, she still is the one in that lane with the most support on DU.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden