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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

karynnj

(59,498 posts)
18. I have been surprised at how stable the numbers have been over the last few months
Sat Jan 4, 2020, 12:16 PM
Jan 2020

From memory, I have seen him at 8 all month. So, there is an uptick.

The link posted from a post below on this thread - contains this relevant passage:

" And there was another candidate on the move in December -- Bernie Sanders. Sanders started December on 7.84% and finishes half a percentage point up at 8.34%. This does not seem to be related to Kamala Harris dropping out -- he didn't receive a significant bump in the first week of December -- but Bernie has been slowly gaining ground for a while now."

Note that ENTIRE December interval would be shown as 8. It is an increase of 1/2 a point over December. With the current 9%, Bernie moved from 7.84% to some number in the interval (8.5 to 9.49). His January gain - so far - is at least .66 % (8.5 - 7.84). Given how the DU chart works, it is more likely that he just gained a new person who put him above 8.5. This means his total gain since December 1 is 1.16

It is also interesting that Biden gained 1.21 (14.63 - 13.42) in December. His percent still registers as 15 today, so the minimum Biden gain from December 1 until today is 1.08 (14.5 - 13.42) at a minimum.


Now, let's consider the political leanings of DU. Since it started, it has been more to the left and more progressive than the democratic base. That Sanders is at less than 20% of the decided DU 'voters' does not bode well for him. Warren has more than twice his share of DU and while he had a small gain and she has had a small decline, she still is the one in that lane with the most support on DU.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
Great News ritapria Jan 2020 #1
And you think that DU is a harbinger for the rest of the nation? dware Jan 2020 #2
That's simply not true, but whatever............ George II Jan 2020 #3
Did you miss the part about in the past few days? Joe941 Jan 2020 #7
Did you miss the part that BS is still in single digits? dware Jan 2020 #9
DU had a lot of turnover for a variety of reasons JonLP24 Jan 2020 #28
You said he was up 2% in the past 3-4 days. He was 8% on December 31, this is January 4.... George II Jan 2020 #11
My mistake. Maybe it was a week. Joe941 Jan 2020 #14
More like several weeks, and not 2%. He started December at 7.84, rounded to 8%, ended at 8.34 .... George II Jan 2020 #16
It's a surge! DavidDvorkin Jan 2020 #4
WHOOPEEE!!!! whistler162 Jan 2020 #5
And Bernie Surges Once Again! MineralMan Jan 2020 #6
On DU that would be huge! Joe941 Jan 2020 #8
It would also be meaningless. MineralMan Jan 2020 #10
Wait .. are you telling me that at this point in 2004, Kucinich was not really ahead of Kerry! nt karynnj Jan 2020 #19
LOL! MineralMan Jan 2020 #20
This means that 91% on DU don't want him. Ironic, isn't it? George II Jan 2020 #13
Ouch!!!! dware Jan 2020 #15
And, 85% don't want Biden. I don't believe DU preferences at this time have much meaning. MerryBlooms Jan 2020 #30
Neither do I, we're certainly not representative of the country. But when someone claims.... George II Jan 2020 #31
Bazinga! George II Jan 2020 #12
Biden's lead in real polling has increased. Prepare yourself. PubliusEnigma Jan 2020 #17
I have been surprised at how stable the numbers have been over the last few months karynnj Jan 2020 #18
DU is also significantly more progressive than the national democratic party. bearsfootball516 Jan 2020 #21
This message was self-deleted by its author TexasTowelie Jan 2020 #22
So I guess that would go for Biden too then - probably just manipulated. Joe941 Jan 2020 #23
Only if the Biden supporters felt a need to play foolish games TexasTowelie Jan 2020 #24
This message was self-deleted by its author seaglass Jan 2020 #25
Well, yes, but how is he doing in Facebook polls? brooklynite Jan 2020 #26
Haaaaaa! NurseJackie Jan 2020 #27
Alternate headline BannonsLiver Jan 2020 #29
Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»Democratic Primaries»Bernie rose to 9% on DU p...»Reply #18