Democratic Primaries

MineralMan

(151,404 posts)

14. I'm pretty sure, yes.

Reply to BootinUp (Reply #13)

Sat Jan 4, 2020, 12:49 PM

Jan 2020

So, who do you think Buttigieg's supporters will switch to when it comes time to switch?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

74 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

The Real Battle in the Primary Race Is for Second Place [View all] MineralMan Jan 2020 OP

No the real battle is to avoid a brokered convention. bluewater Jan 2020 #1

Not really. As you'll see when the March 3 ballots are finally counted, MineralMan Jan 2020 #2

Yes really. As You'll see when the March 3 ballots are finally counted, bluewater Jan 2020 #3

No, really. Theoretically possible, but very unlikely. beastie boy Jan 2020 #10

Yes, really. Bloomberg makes a brokered convention VERY likely. bluewater Jan 2020 #15

So far Bloomberg is not at 15% Gothmog Jan 2020 #19

True, but Super Tuesday is in MARCH. bluewater Jan 2020 #25

No, really. Having money to stay in the race has nothing to so with challenging the frontrunner. beastie boy Jan 2020 #34

SUPER DELEGATES dont vote on the first ballot anymore. bluewater Jan 2020 #35

So? beastie boy Jan 2020 #38

Michael Bloomberg could get enough super delegates on the second ballot, so could Biden. bluewater Jan 2020 #40

With all the primaries he is skipping, Bloomberg is unlikely to make a dent. beastie boy Jan 2020 #48

I'll take the bet. bluewater Jan 2020 #50

You got it. beastie boy Jan 2020 #51

In all seriousness bluewater Jan 2020 #52

Brilliant! beastie boy Jan 2020 #53

another pro-tip bluewater Jan 2020 #54

So do I beastie boy Jan 2020 #58

As you should. bluewater Jan 2020 #59

You already have one half of my dollar bill. beastie boy Jan 2020 #60

Don't worry I've made note of all the BC fantasy posts BannonsLiver Jan 2020 #61

Hey, like clockwork. bluewater Jan 2020 #63

You seem to have an avid follower HeartlandProgressive Jan 2020 #64

"ive made a note of all the BC fantasy posts" HeartlandProgressive Jan 2020 #65

I don't think you should call people "sweetie" bluewater Jan 2020 #66

Perhaps you are right, even though I call everyone that. HeartlandProgressive Jan 2020 #67

You seem to really bring out the best in people. HeartlandProgressive Jan 2020 #68

lol bluewater Jan 2020 #69

You're welcome. BannonsLiver Jan 2020 #70

It doesn't work that way...the supers will vote for the candidate with the most delegates...on the Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #55

A candidate needs about 38% of the delegates for SUPER DELEGATES to get them the win. bluewater Jan 2020 #57

You are kiddingyourself...Joe will have won convincingly and have more than needed....Warren will Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #71

Bloomberg is running so Biden can win NYMinute Jan 2020 #44

Bloomberg seems to be running so Buttigieg will not win. bluewater Jan 2020 #47

Good analysis, I think. MineralMan Jan 2020 #20

The BC fantasy comes up just about every cycle. BannonsLiver Jan 2020 #62

And who will that help or hurt...I have thought about a tie also...but where do the delegates come Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #23

You forget Warren is the only woman in that group clearing the 15% threshold. bluewater Jan 2020 #31

Wishful thinking is wonderful and free of cost. nt NYMinute Jan 2020 #46

Wishful thinking by the time diverse states vote...she will be down in terms of delegates...she Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #56

I think you are absolutely right... there will be no brokered convention Peacetrain Jan 2020 #4

Yup! Even looking at the numbers now, one can see there will not be a brokered convention Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #5

Your last paragraph is the REAL battle. If you don't get to 15% you don't get delegates.... George II Jan 2020 #6

Yes. That's always the battle in primary races. MineralMan Jan 2020 #7

My guess is that many of the supporters of candidates like Klobuchar, Booker, Bennet, etc.... George II Jan 2020 #8

Yes, I think you're right. Those candidates, like Joe Biden MineralMan Jan 2020 #9

Bloomberg was a Democrat all his life. The only reason he switched in 2001 is because... George II Jan 2020 #12

OK. I still don't see him as a viable candidate, frankly. MineralMan Jan 2020 #16

Agree!! Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #18

Probably not, but I just wish those (not you) who bash him as not a "Democrat".... George II Jan 2020 #37

I don't care for Bloomberg and stop and frisk...ends his chances. We have a core AA voting block. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #26

I agree Gothmog Jan 2020 #21

We really know nothing about the state of the Race judeling Jan 2020 #11

We do know some things about the race. MineralMan Jan 2020 #17

B4 a single vote is cast? R u sure because BootinUp Jan 2020 #13

I'm pretty sure, yes. MineralMan Jan 2020 #14

Exception: Bill Clinton floppyboo Jan 2020 #22

That doesn't answer the question I asked, though. MineralMan Jan 2020 #28

I was writing in the context of winning 15%. floppyboo Jan 2020 #30

Delegate Count - Once Again MineralMan Jan 2020 #32

Biden comes out on top in NH?? Wow! floppyboo Jan 2020 #36

I see. I didn't know you were Canadian. MineralMan Jan 2020 #39

The world is watching. I am not alone! floppyboo Jan 2020 #43

I imagine the word IS watching. MineralMan Jan 2020 #45

I'm a mom. I like to encourage people! floppyboo Jan 2020 #49

"most of the international politically involved community" LongtimeAZDem Jan 2020 #42

Bill Clinton lost both New Hampshire and Iowa but won the nomination and the presidency...saving us Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #29

Indeed he did. MineralMan Jan 2020 #33

Correct, but the 15% rule was in effect back in 1992. Bill Clinton only had 3% in the Iowa Caucus.. George II Jan 2020 #41

Hope everyone reads this about the 15% etc. Knowing how Hortensis Jan 2020 #72

Forget the polls, VOTE! Baclava Jan 2020 #24

Well, yes. Everyone here will vote. MineralMan Jan 2020 #27

If biden does as projected in Iowa and NH, he will have fun in South Carolina and on Super Tuesday Gothmog Jan 2020 #73

In order to cancel out Biden's massive lead in the south, Bernie needs huge leads with white voters Gothmog Jan 2020 #74