Democratic Primaries

Gothmog

(180,623 posts)

73. If biden does as projected in Iowa and NH, he will have fun in South Carolina and on Super Tuesday

Reply to MineralMan (Original post)

Sun Jan 5, 2020, 07:23 PM

Jan 2020

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If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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The Real Battle in the Primary Race Is for Second Place [View all] MineralMan Jan 2020 OP

No the real battle is to avoid a brokered convention. bluewater Jan 2020 #1

Not really. As you'll see when the March 3 ballots are finally counted, MineralMan Jan 2020 #2

Yes really. As You'll see when the March 3 ballots are finally counted, bluewater Jan 2020 #3

No, really. Theoretically possible, but very unlikely. beastie boy Jan 2020 #10

Yes, really. Bloomberg makes a brokered convention VERY likely. bluewater Jan 2020 #15

So far Bloomberg is not at 15% Gothmog Jan 2020 #19

True, but Super Tuesday is in MARCH. bluewater Jan 2020 #25

No, really. Having money to stay in the race has nothing to so with challenging the frontrunner. beastie boy Jan 2020 #34

SUPER DELEGATES dont vote on the first ballot anymore. bluewater Jan 2020 #35

So? beastie boy Jan 2020 #38

Michael Bloomberg could get enough super delegates on the second ballot, so could Biden. bluewater Jan 2020 #40

With all the primaries he is skipping, Bloomberg is unlikely to make a dent. beastie boy Jan 2020 #48

I'll take the bet. bluewater Jan 2020 #50

You got it. beastie boy Jan 2020 #51

In all seriousness bluewater Jan 2020 #52

Brilliant! beastie boy Jan 2020 #53

another pro-tip bluewater Jan 2020 #54

So do I beastie boy Jan 2020 #58

As you should. bluewater Jan 2020 #59

You already have one half of my dollar bill. beastie boy Jan 2020 #60

Don't worry I've made note of all the BC fantasy posts BannonsLiver Jan 2020 #61

Hey, like clockwork. bluewater Jan 2020 #63

You seem to have an avid follower HeartlandProgressive Jan 2020 #64

"ive made a note of all the BC fantasy posts" HeartlandProgressive Jan 2020 #65

I don't think you should call people "sweetie" bluewater Jan 2020 #66

Perhaps you are right, even though I call everyone that. HeartlandProgressive Jan 2020 #67

You seem to really bring out the best in people. HeartlandProgressive Jan 2020 #68

lol bluewater Jan 2020 #69

You're welcome. BannonsLiver Jan 2020 #70

It doesn't work that way...the supers will vote for the candidate with the most delegates...on the Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #55

A candidate needs about 38% of the delegates for SUPER DELEGATES to get them the win. bluewater Jan 2020 #57

You are kiddingyourself...Joe will have won convincingly and have more than needed....Warren will Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #71

Bloomberg is running so Biden can win NYMinute Jan 2020 #44

Bloomberg seems to be running so Buttigieg will not win. bluewater Jan 2020 #47

Good analysis, I think. MineralMan Jan 2020 #20

The BC fantasy comes up just about every cycle. BannonsLiver Jan 2020 #62

And who will that help or hurt...I have thought about a tie also...but where do the delegates come Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #23

You forget Warren is the only woman in that group clearing the 15% threshold. bluewater Jan 2020 #31

Wishful thinking is wonderful and free of cost. nt NYMinute Jan 2020 #46

Wishful thinking by the time diverse states vote...she will be down in terms of delegates...she Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #56

I think you are absolutely right... there will be no brokered convention Peacetrain Jan 2020 #4

Yup! Even looking at the numbers now, one can see there will not be a brokered convention Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #5

Your last paragraph is the REAL battle. If you don't get to 15% you don't get delegates.... George II Jan 2020 #6

Yes. That's always the battle in primary races. MineralMan Jan 2020 #7

My guess is that many of the supporters of candidates like Klobuchar, Booker, Bennet, etc.... George II Jan 2020 #8

Yes, I think you're right. Those candidates, like Joe Biden MineralMan Jan 2020 #9

Bloomberg was a Democrat all his life. The only reason he switched in 2001 is because... George II Jan 2020 #12

OK. I still don't see him as a viable candidate, frankly. MineralMan Jan 2020 #16

Agree!! Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #18

Probably not, but I just wish those (not you) who bash him as not a "Democrat".... George II Jan 2020 #37

I don't care for Bloomberg and stop and frisk...ends his chances. We have a core AA voting block. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #26

I agree Gothmog Jan 2020 #21

We really know nothing about the state of the Race judeling Jan 2020 #11

We do know some things about the race. MineralMan Jan 2020 #17

B4 a single vote is cast? R u sure because BootinUp Jan 2020 #13

I'm pretty sure, yes. MineralMan Jan 2020 #14

Exception: Bill Clinton floppyboo Jan 2020 #22

That doesn't answer the question I asked, though. MineralMan Jan 2020 #28

I was writing in the context of winning 15%. floppyboo Jan 2020 #30

Delegate Count - Once Again MineralMan Jan 2020 #32

Biden comes out on top in NH?? Wow! floppyboo Jan 2020 #36

I see. I didn't know you were Canadian. MineralMan Jan 2020 #39

The world is watching. I am not alone! floppyboo Jan 2020 #43

I imagine the word IS watching. MineralMan Jan 2020 #45

I'm a mom. I like to encourage people! floppyboo Jan 2020 #49

"most of the international politically involved community" LongtimeAZDem Jan 2020 #42

Bill Clinton lost both New Hampshire and Iowa but won the nomination and the presidency...saving us Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #29

Indeed he did. MineralMan Jan 2020 #33

Correct, but the 15% rule was in effect back in 1992. Bill Clinton only had 3% in the Iowa Caucus.. George II Jan 2020 #41

Hope everyone reads this about the 15% etc. Knowing how Hortensis Jan 2020 #72

Forget the polls, VOTE! Baclava Jan 2020 #24

Well, yes. Everyone here will vote. MineralMan Jan 2020 #27

If biden does as projected in Iowa and NH, he will have fun in South Carolina and on Super Tuesday Gothmog Jan 2020 #73

In order to cancel out Biden's massive lead in the south, Bernie needs huge leads with white voters Gothmog Jan 2020 #74