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Democratic Primaries

thesquanderer

(13,137 posts)

7. 0%? 538 currently has him with 21% chance of getting the nomination. He's in second place,

Reply to NYMinute (Reply #2)

Thu Jan 9, 2020, 07:36 PM

Jan 2020

behind Biden who has a 42% chance. Brokered convention (no candidate gets 50%+ of the delegates) is in third place (13% chance), followed by Warren in 4th place with 11% and Buttigieg in 5th with 10%.

It's early and (almost) anything could happen, but obviously Sanders' chance of success is something greater than zero.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Highlight:

CNN: Democrats slept on Bernie Sanders. Now he's surging as Iowa approaches [View all] Donkees Jan 2020 OP

Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Jan 2020 #1

This shows Bernie is not a Democrat - the headline says it all NYMinute Jan 2020 #2

0%? 538 currently has him with 21% chance of getting the nomination. He's in second place, thesquanderer Jan 2020 #7

That is statistics. 0% is reality. nt NYMinute Jan 2020 #11

Do you feel that anyone other than Biden has a BETTER chance than Sanders? If so, who? (n/t) thesquanderer Jan 2020 #14

Sen. Warren does nt NYMinute Jan 2020 #15

Here's hoping ArcticFox Jan 2020 #3

K&R Paka Jan 2020 #4

It is an opinion...no poll that I can see. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #5

I mean, he's 1st in New Hampshire according to RCP... HerbChestnut Jan 2020 #6

Barely and within the margin of error...he should be doing much better in the Iowa and particularly Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #8

Nov 9/19: Bernie even with Joe; Dec 9/19: Bernie ahead of Joe by 1; Jan 9/20: Bernie behind Joe by 2 beastie boy Jan 2020 #9

lol.. why do they try to gaslight us with their clickbait? Cha Jan 2020 #16

Bernie is in 1st place in Iowa and NH ritapria Jan 2020 #10

The differences are so small NYMinute Jan 2020 #12

sounds like campaign press release lol nt msongs Jan 2020 #13