Democratic Primaries

pnwmom

(110,324 posts)

34. You're right -- thanks!

Reply to squirecam (Reply #30)

Sat Jan 11, 2020, 02:31 AM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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In the event that no candidate has 51% going into the convention, [View all] pnwmom Jan 2020 OP

Also keep in mind that there will be 767 super delegates who can vote in the second and.... George II Jan 2020 #1

I already said that. pnwmom Jan 2020 #4

Missed that, sorry! George II Jan 2020 #6

I agree with you that they will pick an "establishment Democrat" or, at least, pnwmom Jan 2020 #10

re: picking an "establishment Democrat" or the "most unifying, inspiring, or whatever" thesquanderer Jan 2020 #40

Agreed. Momentum will be important. TwilightZone Jan 2020 #8

If the super delegates are the determining factor in selecting the nominee, Dems could lose again Fiendish Thingy Jan 2020 #28

Superdelegates never overturned the election results robbedvoter Jan 2020 #53

Depends on which candidates are left by then. TwilightZone Jan 2020 #2

I agree. If they're expecting a brokered convention, why keep alienating other Democrats? pnwmom Jan 2020 #7

I doubt very many will go to Bernie. MH1 Jan 2020 #3

Whatever brokering goes on, a majority of delegates will not vote for Sanders. crazytown Jan 2020 #5

At this point in the campaign, they look to be exponentially worse than they were 4 years ago. George II Jan 2020 #9

Not much for "what ifs" at this point, but this is a really good one. Hoyt Jan 2020 #11

hopefully that will not happen because questionseverything Jan 2020 #12

It seems increasingly likely to me that no one will have a majority, pnwmom Jan 2020 #13

The supers squirecam Jan 2020 #20

The last time they did that was with Walter Mondale, who failed to get a majority in the primaries pnwmom Jan 2020 #25

Mondale didn't face nixon squirecam Jan 2020 #30

You're right -- thanks! pnwmom Jan 2020 #34

Mondale lost to Reagan radical noodle Jan 2020 #31

have to be really careful about this booley Jan 2020 #14

That's why the delegates and superdelegates will be careful to pick someone pnwmom Jan 2020 #15

That's why Bernie was so eager to radical noodle Jan 2020 #32

The supers will put the individual with the most delegates over the top on the second vote if need Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #16

Not necessarily. For example, if there are three candidates with approximately 30% each, pnwmom Jan 2020 #18

There can be no unifying candidate chosen at the convention ...no one could do it...the only safe Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #17

I doubt you would say that if Bernie "won" the primary with 34% of the vote, pnwmom Jan 2020 #19

If bernie squirecam Jan 2020 #21

I strongly disagree. If no one has a majority or at least a very strong plurality, pnwmom Jan 2020 #22

By definition squirecam Jan 2020 #29

It is unifying if the backers of multiple candidates can get behind the one pnwmom Jan 2020 #37

There would be no way to know squirecam Jan 2020 #41

You couldn't be more wrong about my personal views. pnwmom Jan 2020 #42

Bernie squirecam Jan 2020 #46

I wouldn't be happy but I would say that ...it must be based on the number of delegates... Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #26

In the unlikely event that this scenario plays out we will see what happens when it totodeinhere Jan 2020 #23

The candidates should think about it carefully. If they did, they might realize pnwmom Jan 2020 #24

Quite true...as a Hillary voter I can attest to that. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #27

Speculating about what we don't know describes half the posts in this forum. ;-) n/t thesquanderer Jan 2020 #39

Yes I know. But I would rather spend my energy on supporting my candidate and totodeinhere Jan 2020 #43

Oh, yawn. PoindexterOglethorpe Jan 2020 #33

1952 still_one Jan 2020 #36

And the delegate selection process is now vastly different. PoindexterOglethorpe Jan 2020 #45

1984, when Walter Mondale lost 49 states. n/t pnwmom Jan 2020 #38

That convention had more than one ballot? PoindexterOglethorpe Jan 2020 #44

It was a brokered convention. They got the 40 votes they were short pnwmom Jan 2020 #47

Exactly. There was one ballot. PoindexterOglethorpe Jan 2020 #48

It was a true brokered convention, settled by superdelegates. pnwmom Jan 2020 #49

I'm under the impression that a brokered convention by definition PoindexterOglethorpe Jan 2020 #50

Regardless of what the label is, the fact remains that the primaries left Mondale 40 votes short pnwmom Jan 2020 #51

If it gets to a brokered convention, there is only one candiate in the top tier that i would still_one Jan 2020 #35

I think if Biden is not the one, they will "draft"HRC. LiberalArkie Jan 2020 #52

I, for one, have been very happy to not have the superdelegates put their fingers on the scale aikoaiko Jan 2020 #54

If it does go to a second vote, most of the superdelegates will MineralMan Jan 2020 #55

But suppose that Bernie somehow edges Biden out? pnwmom Jan 2020 #56

I think that is very, very unlikely, actually. MineralMan Jan 2020 #57