''It means you're going to lose.''

[NJCher]

9. Bernie can cut you off at the knees if he has to

He just has that way about him.

Trump probably thinks he can beat Bernie, but what he's not counting on is the fact that there was a substantial percentage of people who voted Trump when they couldn't get Bernie in the last election.* These are people who would swing back to Bernie in a heartbeat if given the choice.

I can hardly imagine a Trump/Bernie debate without Bernie laughing in Trump's face. You know it's going to happen.


on edit: I checked the figures and it's 12% who went for Trump because they couldn't get Bernie.

Another factor to consider is that Bernie is stronger with the younger voters. There was an article in the WSJ that said that Trump's white working class voters have declined by 2.3 per cent. Those are voters he has to go out and get new, not so easy when you're being impeached and you just effed up royally by assassinating the #2 guy from another government.

Quote from article: "Trump has a certain hill to climb, and this suggests that the hill gets a little steeper,’’ said Ruy Teixeira, a demographer with the States of Change project, which provided assessments of the 2020 electorate."

Also:

Projections by Mr. Teixeira and his colleagues find that the declining presence of working-class whites as eligible voters, if considered in isolation from other factors, would be enough to tip Michigan and Pennsylvania from narrow Trump wins into narrow Democratic wins, while producing the barest of margins in favor of Democrats in Wisconsin. Mr. Trump won each state by less than 1 percentage point, or a combined 77,000 votes.

Link: https://www.wsj.com/articles/demographic-shift-poised-to-test-trumps-2020-strategy-11578047402