Congratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
If someone goes to the following link...
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/iowa/
Fivethiryeight.com talks about how winning Iowa raises or lowers the odds of winning the nomination.
Basically, they say that winning Iowa means the person has an 80% chance of winning the nomination. Why can't they say 100%? Because of people like Bill Clinton who did not win either Iowa or New Hamshire but still won the nomination. How did he do it? Well, Bill Clinton was from the South, and he swept the South. This means, even if you don't win Iowa or New Hampshire, you can still win if you do well in the South. Anyone doing strong in the South? Oh, you, Joe Biden? OK, so even if Joe Biden doesn't win Iowa and New Hampshire he can still win by doing well in the South. 
If I were to vote in a presidentialprimary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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