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Democratic Primaries

George II

(67,782 posts) Wed Jan 15, 2020, 11:51 AM Jan 2020

Polling data in early states as of late this morning (January 15): [View all]

FiveThirtyEight averages:

Iowa:

Biden 20.1
Warren 15.0
Buttigieg 17.4
Sanders 20.0

Biden ahead by 0.1

New Hampshire:

Biden 21.7
Warren 15.9
Buttigieg 13.2*
Sanders 20.1

Biden ahead by 1.6

Nevada:

Biden 23.2
Warren 14.1*
Buttigieg 6.8*
Sanders 19.4

Biden ahead by 3.8

South Carolina:

Biden 35.9
Warren 11.1*
Buttigieg 4.7*
Sanders 14.3*
Steyer 9.8*

Biden ahead by 21.6

* Below the 15% cutoff for delegates

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

5 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Polling data in early states as of late this morning (January 15): [View all] George II Jan 2020 OP

Your math on Iowa is wrong. JoeOtterbein Jan 2020 #1

K&R TexasTowelie Jan 2020 #2

15% is the cut off for per district, not an aggregate for the state. crazytown Jan 2020 #3

Generally I include a disclaimer of sorts to the effect of "based on states' district rules".... George II Jan 2020 #4

It is highly misleading crazytown Jan 2020 #5