Predictions: Who will win the Iowa Caucuses?

[judeling]

9. The Debate Dust up

Was the kind that hurts. It will play off of 2016 and the Hillary supporters who are with Warren. In the complicated caucus process that could be enough It very much looked like Pete gained much of what Warren lost until she stabilized and once he started to drop Warren regained some of that. We are talking 1 or two points here. Those supporters appeared to be suburban and mainly women from the older cohorts if I'm reading the crosstabs correctly. That is pretty much Hillary Base and the dustup will go right at them. This won't matter as much in the first count except in some of the smaller precincts where Warren was going to fall well below the threshold at the start. But in the second count in those places Warren could help Bernie the precinct captain or a group of Dominant supporters could be enough to steer the group away from Bernie. It is perfectly logical not to hurt your candidate by helping your main rival.

A: from the day she announced she knew she needed a very good Iowa outcome. She is at this point the only candidate that could finish 3rd and surprise enough to claim a win.
B: Tulsi in Iowa will not even crack 3%. This is not a secret ballot and that will have a huge effect.
C: The Gang is devoted enough that I'll be interested in the same.
D: I doubt at this point he will ever drop out, just stop.