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Democratic Primaries
Showing Original Post only (View all)NY Mag: Running Bernie Sanders Against Trump Would Be an Act of Insanity [View all]
In the field of political forecasting, almost nothing is a matter of certainty, and almost everything is a matter of probability. If Democrats nominate Bernie Sanders who currently leads the field in Iowa and New Hampshire, and appears to be consolidating support among the partys progressive wing, while its moderates remain splintered his prospects against Donald Trump in November would be far from hopeless. Polarization has given any major party nominee a high enough floor of support that the term unelectable has no real place in the discussion. Whats more, every candidate in the race brings a suite of their own liabilities Trump could exploit.
That said, the totality of the evidence suggests Sanders is an extremely, perhaps uniquely, risky nominee. His vulnerabilities are enormous and untested. No party nomination, with the possible exception of Barry Goldwater in 1964, has put forth a presidential nominee with the level of downside risk exposure as a Sanders-led ticket would bring. To nominate Sanders would be insane.
http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/01/bernie-sanders-electable-trump-2020-nomination-popular-socialism.html
That said, the totality of the evidence suggests Sanders is an extremely, perhaps uniquely, risky nominee. His vulnerabilities are enormous and untested. No party nomination, with the possible exception of Barry Goldwater in 1964, has put forth a presidential nominee with the level of downside risk exposure as a Sanders-led ticket would bring. To nominate Sanders would be insane.
http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/01/bernie-sanders-electable-trump-2020-nomination-popular-socialism.html
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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NY Mag: Running Bernie Sanders Against Trump Would Be an Act of Insanity [View all]
wyldwolf
Jan 2020
OP
Thank you for posting! This is a very informative read. Every dem regardless of candidate choice
Thekaspervote
Jan 2020
#1
I love these freak-out reactions and opinions from the media talking heads and opinion makers
Devil Child
Jan 2020
#4
The pretense that a sentiment is equivalent to a proof is beyond irrational.
LanternWaste
Jan 2020
#17
Yes! GOTV and combating voter suppression while delivering unconditional support for the Dem nominee
Devil Child
Jan 2020
#48
The second proposition is not true. Better he bow out and pass the torch to the healthier and
emmaverybo
Jan 2020
#35
Chait, a day before the 2016 election, wrote "Donald Trump is not going to win Michigan"?
DanTex
Jan 2020
#5
we're gonna need an awful lot of salt if we're going to judge people on that basis....
unblock
Jan 2020
#10
From the article: Jane's University gave half a million dollars to Bernie's step daughter
Grampa.Shark
Jan 2020
#8
It certainly would be bizarre. Unlike anything the country has seen. However,
Politicub
Jan 2020
#14
And Bloomberg is waiting in the wings to take the Centrist mantle when Biden falters.
jalan48
Jan 2020
#24
The guy who honeymooned in Russia really can't attack the GOP for being in bed with Russia.
tinrobot
Jan 2020
#33
I don't follow polls and I believe pundit opinions are at best worth doodly-squat
pecosbob
Jan 2020
#36
I honestly don't see how Bernie can win the nomination. I feel very confident that this won't happen
Skya Rhen
Jan 2020
#37
He's said he's going to raise taxes on the middle class to pay for his ideas.
BannonsLiver
Jan 2020
#39
Half Of America Doesn't Vote - Maybe If We Nominated Someone Who Never Sold Out
DanieRains
Jan 2020
#58