Democratic Primaries

beastie boy

(13,283 posts) Tue Jan 28, 2020, 01:56 PM Jan 2020

538: the poll numbers in early states change daily. But most of these changes are within MOE [View all]

Today, it's a virtual tie between Biden and Sanders in Iowa and Nevada, and a 5 point advantage for Sanders in NH.

Also, Biden leads Sanders in SC by 20, their respective standings are well within MOA in California and Maine, Biden is tied with Warren in Massachusetts with Sanders a distant third, Biden is 13 points ahead of Sanders in North Carolina, Biden leads Sanders by 8 in Texas, by 5 in Utah and by 13 in Virginia. No recent data is available for the other Super Tuesday states.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/

To mangle Mark Twain, the rumors of anyone surging in any race are being greatly exaggerated.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

10 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

538: the poll numbers in early states change daily. But most of these changes are within MOE [View all] beastie boy Jan 2020 OP

K&R! highplainsdem Jan 2020 #1

Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2020 #2

Given its demographics, I still think IA is Bernie's to win. Or lose. LanternWaste Jan 2020 #3

From what I have heard from her supporters and elsewhere, Warren may do better than expected. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #10

The memo has gone out. Bad poll numbers? Do opposite and declare victory. Scurrilous Jan 2020 #4

Bernie does opposite and dog whistle. Scurrilous Jan 2020 #8

Biden ahead in entire polled South. Scurrilous Jan 2020 #5

Biden is losing CA. If he loses TX too, that's it. Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #7

But the projections are changing well outside any MOE Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #6

What exactly are you referring to? beastie boy Jan 2020 #9