Democratic Primaries

beastie boy

(13,283 posts)

9. What exactly are you referring to?

Tue Jan 28, 2020, 03:16 PM

Jan 2020

If you have any polling data, I would like to see it. If you are referring to something other than polling data, that would be comparing apples to oranges. But I would like to see it anyway, especially how MOE applies to projections. I am not sure whether it is possible to apply MOE to projections, since they usually calculate the chances of something happening, not the margin of accuracy in a statistical data set.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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538: the poll numbers in early states change daily. But most of these changes are within MOE [View all] beastie boy Jan 2020 OP

K&R! highplainsdem Jan 2020 #1

Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2020 #2

Given its demographics, I still think IA is Bernie's to win. Or lose. LanternWaste Jan 2020 #3

From what I have heard from her supporters and elsewhere, Warren may do better than expected. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #10

The memo has gone out. Bad poll numbers? Do opposite and declare victory. Scurrilous Jan 2020 #4

Bernie does opposite and dog whistle. Scurrilous Jan 2020 #8

Biden ahead in entire polled South. Scurrilous Jan 2020 #5

Biden is losing CA. If he loses TX too, that's it. Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #7

But the projections are changing well outside any MOE Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #6

What exactly are you referring to? beastie boy Jan 2020 #9