Democratic Primaries

Demsrule86

(71,523 posts)

33. +100000

Reply to Thekaspervote (Reply #26)

Tue Jan 28, 2020, 05:28 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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RCP, Biden is leading. New Quinipiac as of today showing Biden winning. No Sanders surge! [View all] Demsrule86 Jan 2020 OP

5.4 avg lead is not significant. Sorry. It is also far reduced from the level it was a couple weeks Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #1

SORRY.. It would be if BS were ahead that much so I Cha Jan 2020 #4

Oh stop!! Out of 57 states and territories you guy wins 13-14, Biden wins 43-44 Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #5

Nope. Check out the 538 projection. Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #9

Bernie numbers are looking pretty bad in the breakdowns... pfeiffer Jan 2020 #15

? Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #16

Bernie is up another 2% from the National Quinnipiac Poll conducted 2 weeks ago ritapria Jan 2020 #54

No he didn't...Biden is about the same...he apparently got some of Warrens support...but Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #57

Well if you say so :) Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #58

They are not what some have claimed...that is for sure...no Sanders surge. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #32

Okay.. okay!! Biden wins 41 sanders wins 16.. don't think so... go count them up for yourself Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #26

+100000 Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #33

I posted the newest polls... Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #6

Polls are not projections. Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #13

I look at them 2 in 5 chance for Biden...1 in 10 Sanders...not a surge. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #34

That's not what it says, actually Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #35

I was looking at an older poll...bit higher for Sanders but still losing...he is not winning by any Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #42

538 disagrees Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #44

I posted it all...you want to call it an upswing... fine...driven by Warren's numbers which he may Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #47

I don't call it an upswing, 538 does. Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #48

Call it what you want,I don't think it is that significant. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #53

K. Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #59

Also Bernie is the largest recipient of Warren's second choice support. Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #49

Maybe once upon a time...but he stabbed her in the back...there is not that much difference... Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #50

That poll came out today Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #51

Look at the dates for the sample...Sanders supporters are still being ugly about Warren on twitter Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #52

The important nugget which you all refuse to address...is Sanders is losing the AA vote and badly. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #12

If you figure the delegate % for the first 4 states it's Biden 56+ sanders 50+ Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #14

+10000 Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #18

5.4% lead would mean a frazzled Jan 2020 #41

Iowa is essentially tied...and here something for you to consider...I don't think it impossible for Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #46

Biden not in trouble even if he loses IA and NH, but Sanders won't do well in more diverse emmaverybo Jan 2020 #55

IA and NH are indeed, Bernie's to win or lose. LanternWaste Jan 2020 #62

Yes! the demise of Biden's campaign rides again into the dust bins of history!! Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #2

Such bullshit...don't know where or how they got the numbers they did. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #7

Never fear, they will make something else up...... getagrip_already Jan 2020 #43

The media is trying to make it so if Biden doesn't win it is curtains...but I think they will learn Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #45

Mahalo, Dems! Cha Jan 2020 #3

Keeps me occupied Cha... Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #8

I know what you mean.. Cha Jan 2020 #10

Can I get in on that??!! Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #17

lol.. Yes! Cha Jan 2020 #19

My daughter is ill in hospital, but she will make a full recovery. I know it. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #20

Awhhh ..sorry to hear that! Happy to hear she will make a full recovery Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #28

Would love to see purple matchups Laura PourMeADrink Jan 2020 #11

There are a few...and I think after these first four states go,we will get more will see what I can Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #21

Thanks! Worried about some of them. If only he Laura PourMeADrink Jan 2020 #24

Since December Quinnipiac poll Sanders up 5 Biden down 4 Bumperstickers Jan 2020 #22

My mistake...but seriously, you picked the highest number to compare...I will add the chart here Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #23

Here ya go Bumperstickers Jan 2020 #25

I posted the entire chart...within the margin of error...and Warren and Sanders seem to Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #36

Thx for posting.. everyone knew poll numbers would tighten... they always do Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #31

You are absolutely correct...Biden is in good shape...much wishful thinking going on with Sanders Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #37

Still the numbers are still not there for sanders ..like it or not!! Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #29

Nope...they are not. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #40

surge is such an overused word in politics. a surge only happens near the finish line. nt Kurt V. Jan 2020 #27

I absolutely agree with you and I think Warren could still be the winner in Ohio...I really do Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #38

No Sanders surge. What a shock! katmondoo Jan 2020 #30

And as I told the above poster Warren is still competitive in Iowa. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #39

National polls can be pushed to whichever candidate the pollster wants to Bumperstickers Jan 2020 #56

"No BS surge".. Cha Jan 2020 #60

Biden 3% 18-34 yrs. denem Jan 2020 #61