Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Democratic Primaries

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)

10. You know the cool thing about polls?

Reply to getagrip_already (Reply #7)

Wed Jan 29, 2020, 01:28 PM

Jan 2020

You can track results from the same pollster over time. The one posted in the OP showed changes from the previous poll taken in September. Same pollster, same methodology, two very different results. You're right about polling swings in Iowa, but those "swings" are a result of polls coming from different pollsters using different methodologies.

Btw, no need for the condescending personal snipe at the end.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

36 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

HERE COMES TEXAS. Bernie surges in Texas. Biden drops in Texas. [View all] Hassin Bin Sober Jan 2020 OP

Surge? Watchfoxheadexplodes Jan 2020 #1

Really? HerbChestnut Jan 2020 #3

The word has lost all meaning... LanternWaste Jan 2020 #5

from where and what? getagrip_already Jan 2020 #7

You know the cool thing about polls? HerbChestnut Jan 2020 #10

you can't seriously compare a poll in late jan 2020 to sept 2019......... getagrip_already Jan 2020 #13

Oh okay. You know people. HerbChestnut Jan 2020 #17

Biden's delegate count jumped by 100 on 538 in the last day. Sanders is down Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #18

And yet, not a single vote has been cast. HerbChestnut Jan 2020 #20

It's a educated prediction!! Nothing wrong with that Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #24

Umm, unless you want to see how things changed between Jan 2020 and Sept 2019. DanTex Jan 2020 #19

"Surge" clearly means swings of 18 points or more... DanTex Jan 2020 #11

Ah, my mistake. HerbChestnut Jan 2020 #12

Whoa!! HerbChestnut Jan 2020 #2

Biden with an average lead in Texas of 12 points at RCP and 7 points at 538. highplainsdem Jan 2020 #4

No doubt, those particular polls will be either ignored or called "an attack" LanternWaste Jan 2020 #6

Well, those are polling averages, and 538's includes the outlier poll cited in the OP. highplainsdem Jan 2020 #8

It is an unrated poll and shows very different results than the others listed. Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #14

Yep, it does. I wonder if Sanders in the end will be viable in Texas unless the Rogan dudes Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #21

No, they wont BrooklynJet2020 Jan 2020 #9

Yep, and watch Sander will lose more support. He will get kill in the South with his limited AA Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #22

Thanks! BrooklynJet2020 Jan 2020 #34

Rogan is dead to me. I have a daughter who is gay and he did say that some Gay people are Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #35

Texas is not polled frequently. Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #15

Texas is not like California. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #23

Exactly Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #25

Racially I think they are similar Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #26

I can't argue with that...but politically I think they are quite different. Although Texas is Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #27

I feel like they are a few seats out from flipping Tiggeroshii Jan 2020 #30

Polls are not perfect...the 2016 election demonstrated that...It sounds reasonable to me...your Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #31

Not that close. TexasTowelie Jan 2020 #33

ROFL. -nt Amimnoch Jan 2020 #16

Bernie's facing some serious vetting...so... pfeiffer Jan 2020 #28

Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Jan 2020 #29

Checking the crosstabs TexasTowelie Jan 2020 #32

I love following the polls and find Sanders surge in some states shocking Bumperstickers Jan 2020 #36