Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: It is beyond strange that people think 1972 is a better predictor of 2020 than 2016 [View all]The Revolution
(913 posts)The thing about the 2016 election is that a lot of people just don't like Hillary Clinton. Maybe it's for all the wrong reasons, but it is what it is.
Look, Democrats get accused of hating Trump all the time, but we don't hate him in the same way that Republicans HATE Hillary Clinton. Having her on the ticket basically ensured that Republican voters would show up to vote against her. The thing is, even a lot of Democrats don't like her. Anecdotally, I've heard from plenty of people that almost always vote for the Democrat, but either refused to vote or voted for Trump in 2016, specifically because they didn't like Clinton.
So in my opinion, you can't really look at 2016 and try to predict if a centrist or left-wing candidate will do better or worse in 2020.
For what it's worth, I think any of our candidates can win in 2020, it's just some will have a little easier time than others. I actually think Biden and Sanders have the best chance, with Biden having a bit of an edge.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden