Betting markets point to Bernie being most electable. [View all]

[DanTex]

Bernie now has the best odds of winning the primaries according to betting markets. He's at 43%, to Biden's 31%.

But what's more interesting is what the markets have to say about electability. If you look at the market for president outright, we get
Trump 48
Bernie 30
Biden 13

Which is a remarkably strong show of support for the argument that Bernie is the most electable. What it implies is that if Bernie does win the primary, his chances of going on to beat Trump are 30/43 = 70%. On the other hand, if Biden wins the primary, his chances are then 13/31 = 42%.

So, yeah, all the Never Trump pundits and the centrists on twitter can insist all they want that "Bernie can't win". If they want, they can put their money where their mouth is. Because people who are betting money, instead of writing articles, see Bernie as handily the most electable. No wonder all those Republicans pundits are trying to tell us not to nominate Bernie.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/1/US-Elections