What the actual hell is with this Bloomberg love?

[Awsi Dooger]

163. Bloomberg doesn't have the baggage

Nothing you described in the OP is baggage. It may cause horrors around here but it doesn't translate poorly to a general election. Just the opposite. Voters love the rich powerful guy. They assign absurd benefit of a doubt. It showed up with Perot then Trump and we'd be idiotic not to understand how it would benefit Bloomberg.

I would always prefer to nominate a white male, unless the situational terrain is extremely favorable. That does not describe 2020 at all, not versus an incumbent whose party has been in power only one term. Trump is going to be hellish to defeat even by a whisker. I have emphasized that since he was elected. Day to day details mean nothing. The people who have long considered Trump an easy out are the ones who are fixated by day to day developments and therefore have the big picture fly comfortably over their head.

Trump's approval rating is going to steadily climb toward 45% on 538 once this impeachment process is over. Again, I predicted that scenario two years ago, that it would rise toward 45% range as reelection neared. So many people are willing to accept that incumbent if they deem their lives are going reasonably well. Hispanics always drift toward the incumbent. That will happen this year.

Sanders would have the socialist tag bombarded at him with effective results. Biden always reminds me of Republicans nominating Bob Dole in 1996. I mentioned that beginning two years ago. Older long term senator and good guy but already a multi time loser in presidential bids. Once you have lost multiple times the reasons for it generally show up during a general election. Simply not special enough. Voters are more magnetized by someone they consider unique.

Bloomberg would be like that guy who shows up out of nowhere in a Heisman Trophy race. Nobody nitpicks a Robert Griffin or Joe Burrow when suddenly they are having the dream season as a senior. No, the nitpicking is reserved for that college player who has been a known quantity throughout his career, like Andrew Luck losing to Griffin or Tua losing to Burrow this season, even if Tua had remained healthy.

We may think of Bloomberg as a known quantity. Voters would not. They are just getting to know him now via the commercials. Those voters will have second thoughts about Biden but be increasingly intrigued by Bloomberg.

Besides, I keep going back to what I heard from those older white folks during the shuttle bus at the LPGA golf tournament in Naples in November. They were in agreement that the only Democrats they would consider over Trump are Biden and Bloomberg. The most vocal guy summarized, "Biden often sounds confused. Not Bloomberg. He is in his 70s but still very sharp."

The others chimed in with loud agreement.

Don't underestimate how vicious Trump will be during the campaign and debates. Nothing is off the table. He knows his legacy is at stake. I think Trump realizes the one guy who can withstand everything then turn the tables and make a fool out of him is Bloomberg.