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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

emmaverybo

(8,148 posts)
9. You are a seer then. I'll bide my time. I never thought Biden would prevail in Iowa or NH though.
Thu Feb 6, 2020, 03:32 AM
Feb 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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I think 538's model is overestimating the impact of the Iowa results. highplainsdem Feb 2020 #1
I think we're already seeing the impact it's having... Drunken Irishman Feb 2020 #2
Well, if Sanders gets the nomination, we can probably forget about beating Trump, and forget about highplainsdem Feb 2020 #4
I think NH is going to be the pivot... Drunken Irishman Feb 2020 #6
You know you could as easily and in fairness to process playing out make S.C. the Pivot. However, emmaverybo Feb 2020 #7
I see the writing on the wall. Drunken Irishman Feb 2020 #8
You are a seer then. I'll bide my time. I never thought Biden would prevail in Iowa or NH though. emmaverybo Feb 2020 #9
It's not that Biden didn't prevail in Iowa... Drunken Irishman Feb 2020 #10
Has his polling changed dramatically for the worse in Nevada, in S.C.? In the swing states, in the emmaverybo Feb 2020 #11
It will if he finishes 4th in New Hampshire. Or if he finishes 3rd and Buttigieg is 2nd. Garrett78 Feb 2020 #13
COULD matter, or not. Voter's faith in Biden'a electability could take a hit, emmaverybo Feb 2020 #17
I'm not making any assumptions. Garrett78 Feb 2020 #18
Very possible it has... Drunken Irishman Feb 2020 #16
Message auto-removed Name removed Feb 2020 #15
I can't imagine him finishing 5th, but 4th is possible and would be devastating. Garrett78 Feb 2020 #12
I think it is chrystal balling and way outsizes Iowa's impact on a much larger picture. I don't know emmaverybo Feb 2020 #5
Not enough people care about 538 for it to influence anything HowardZinnfandel Feb 2020 #14
A model, not polling. And a model based on the results of one state unrepresentative of the emmaverybo Feb 2020 #3
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