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Democratic Primaries

bottomofthehill

(9,392 posts)

8. Because it is incredibly difficult to poll caucuses

Reply to sagesnow (Original post)

Thu Feb 6, 2020, 07:15 AM

Feb 2020

Tou don’t know who will be viable where you are and where the votes may go. It is just a shitty system. Vote with paper back up

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Wondering why all the polls were wrong about the Iowa Caucus winner. [View all] sagesnow Feb 2020 OP

Hmm.. Mike Nelson Feb 2020 #1

The cancelled DMR poll had Buttigieg in third Loki Liesmith Feb 2020 #2

glad the DM register kept its credibility. riversedge Feb 2020 #4

Thank you for... Mike Nelson Feb 2020 #7

That 'top tier' poll was the one that gave Bernie his first lead in a previous iteration (Jan 10). Scurrilous Feb 2020 #12

Now, that I agree with... Mike Nelson Feb 2020 #15

They do it because they can, a public flexing of what they can do. Scurrilous Feb 2020 #16

I'm sure you know, after 37,707 posts, that calling Iowa caucus voters fucking fuckers, MasonDreams Feb 2020 #25

And the caucus was indeed up for grabs Recursion Feb 2020 #3

Caucuses generally represent party activists, well organized groups, apcalc Feb 2020 #5

Do we have the results yet? Last I saw with 96% in Pete's lead was only 0.1%. MasonDreams Feb 2020 #6

A dowser will be reporting shortly ... Donkees Feb 2020 #14

Because it is incredibly difficult to poll caucuses bottomofthehill Feb 2020 #8

Exactly. Anyone who had ever participated in a caucus would realize what folly it is poll on them hlthe2b Feb 2020 #10

They weren't FBaggins Feb 2020 #9

+1 Laelth Feb 2020 #32

This is one reason why BlueMTexpat Feb 2020 #11

At this point in time I don't blame her . . . Iliyah Feb 2020 #28

That makes more sense. eom BlueMTexpat Feb 2020 #33

It's extremely difficult to poll a caucus, much harder than a normal election. bearsfootball516 Feb 2020 #13

Sanders got the most votes mgcgulfcoast Feb 2020 #17

Do you mean he won the popular vote but lost the Caucus? sagesnow Feb 2020 #18

He lost by millions -- hardly getting "screwed" over. nt R B Garr Feb 2020 #19

I think he's referring to Iowa, which was also controversial in 2016. (n/t) thesquanderer Feb 2020 #20

re: "Don't remember any poll showing Buttigieg winning. " thesquanderer Feb 2020 #21

Because polls measure individual people, and caucuses measure sentiment across a group that is WhiskeyGrinder Feb 2020 #22

Bernie was supposed to win big. HarlanPepper Feb 2020 #23

polls don't do well with caucuses ibegurpard Feb 2020 #24

Deja vu all over again. Suspect serious foreign and RW interference. Hortensis Feb 2020 #26

There's a paper trail... JudyM Feb 2020 #29

Pete overperformed Biden underperformed and Bernie did not break away from others to win lunasun Feb 2020 #27

The polls were right Tweedy Feb 2020 #30

Unless a candidate has a very sizable lead, caucus polling is flawed. Drunken Irishman Feb 2020 #31