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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

relayerbob

(6,544 posts)
6. To a point ..
Thu Feb 6, 2020, 07:22 PM
Feb 2020

But Biden's momentum was pretty low to begin with, when you consider the fundraising numbers and other "pre-race" metrics. Sanders' momentum has taken a hit here also, as he did not bring in the huge turnout he suggested was waiting for him. The fact that he gets a lot of money doesn't really matter if he can't turn that into votes. Buttegieg has grabbed some momentum, but this is a state that was weighted heavily in his favor. Warren has an uphill battle in the coming weeks, and Klobuchar even more. So yes, the race to the first watering hole on the course (super Tuesday) is going to be tight, but even after SC, we're still only a few percent of the way into the race.

And, of course, these are only the "Olympic trials". The real race is yet to start, and the other side is going to go in rested and well-oiled (well, at least the palms will have been greased). We must not let our efforts for our candidate cause injury to our team.

Note, I oppose both the caucus process, as well as the single state kickoff, as they are both non-representative of the nation as a whole, and give us false impressions of things like momentum. Probably not a lot better than endless polls (polls favor older people with land lines and time on their hands, caucus' favor younger activists with time on their hands). If we were to make Nevada and Iowa into primary elections, and run them concurrent to New Hampshire and South Carolina, then at least it might have some statistical validity. Hence my final statement - and agreed, we need to stay focused on the end goal, not on the mile markers, unless and until one candidate starts to actually pull ahead. That may occur on Super Tuesday ... or it may not.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»Democratic Primaries»The Iowa caucus is not wi...»Reply #6