Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: Is Sanders an election-year disaster waiting to happen? [View all]If you look at supporters, young people came out in large numbers. They split for Bernie and Pete but they came out for change. Both are outside the Democratic Establishment although definitely different political approaches and it was a very impressive result for Pete. However, the demographics of the Vote change the picture of turn out in Iowa. I suspect without actual numbers (note its just an opinion) that if one examined the statistics of first time caucus attendees it would be very skewed as well to show that younger first time voters were way up.
http://www.mtv.com/news/3155194/iowa-caucus-2020-young-voters/
The overall turn out was at 2016 levels because the older voters and people not arguing for the type of change represented by two outsiders did not come out or came out in reduced numbers. Maybe that is because they are not enamored with the more moderate candidates who claim them as their base. Maybe its something else. I am not arguing here against any specific candidate and wont in this Primary Season.
The question of turn out is important overall in beating trump. Will high numbers including these excited young come out for the end democratic candidate. Will the others who are part of the demographic who did not show in the caucus to make it a record turn out end up voting regardless of candidate. I would assume so because older people have the time and usually vote. However, regardless, it is a good sign that younger voters are coming out in high numbers and the fact they are voting for democratic non-establishment candidates is a good indication that the claims that progressives and non-establishment candidates increase the turn out has some evidence in its favor. Regardless, larger numbers of young voters are good for whoever ends up as our candidate be it Amy, Bernie, Elizabeth, Joe, or Pete (alphabetical order) or one of the outlying candidates like Andrew, Steyer or Bloomberg.
You have seemed reasonable in the past, take faith from the fact that the turn out was not uniformly low although not favoring your preferred candidates at this moment.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided