Democratic Primaries

frazzled

(18,402 posts)

13. Whoever "wins"

Tue Feb 11, 2020, 08:05 PM

Feb 2020

will win only a plurality, probably not more than 30% +/-

Since the primaries award only 24 pledged delegates (There are 33 altogether), the winner will take probably only 8 or 9 delegates at best. This is slow going, since 1,990 pledged delegates are needed to clinch the nomination.

NH has a population of only 1.3 million statewide. Say half are democrats or democratic leaning independents, and if 35% of those vote, it's high for a primary. It's a very small number of votes in the overall scheme of things.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Who wins NH today? [View all] Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 OP

Sanders will win, the real race is for 2 & 3. Agschmid Feb 2020 #1

Almost half are undecided Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #4

He will win, I would be SHOCKED to see him lose NH. Agschmid Feb 2020 #6

nobody unless they get 50% + one nt msongs Feb 2020 #2

50% + one? -- No left-of-center2012 Feb 2020 #7

Regardless of the vote winner ... left-of-center2012 Feb 2020 #3

Sanders MoonlitKnight Feb 2020 #5

It's hard to say... being New Hampshire and all. NurseJackie Feb 2020 #8

Because Bernie is doing well with everybody? Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #9

Sanders most likely. Turin_C3PO Feb 2020 #10

I voted for Bloomberg because if the reuslts are not definitive again then he is totodeinhere Feb 2020 #11

Hope that doesn't happen! Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #12

I can see this reasoning as sound nt Celerity Feb 2020 #16

Whoever "wins" frazzled Feb 2020 #13

I'm predicting Amy! Happyhippychick Feb 2020 #14

BernieAmy/Pete within 2% of each otherWarren Amimnoch Feb 2020 #15