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Democratic Primaries

TwilightZone

(28,836 posts)

22. My point was that they're not confident with that number.

Reply to Garrett78 (Reply #18)

Wed Feb 12, 2020, 02:20 PM

Feb 2020

If they're not confident with it, it's not really proof of anything including the likelihood that he'll get a majority of delegates. Their numbers, before whatever adjustments they make in the coming days, show him falling about 500 short on average.

He'll probably still have a better chance than the others, but the numbers show him falling well short of a majority for the moment. It's a little odd that "no one" isn't actually higher, considering the delegate figures.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Highlight:

NY Daily News: Bernie Sanders is the frontrunner. Now, treat him like it. [View all] democrattotheend Feb 2020 OP

No he's not. NurseJackie Feb 2020 #1

I think treating him like a potential president could give many voters pause. As in YIKES. emmaverybo Feb 2020 #3

538, Harry Enten and others all agree Sanders at this point... Garrett78 Feb 2020 #7

538 has backtracked a bit TwilightZone Feb 2020 #13

The same numbers I was seeing last night. 38% chance, while no other candidate is at 20 or better. Garrett78 Feb 2020 #18

My point was that they're not confident with that number. TwilightZone Feb 2020 #22

.... handmade34 Feb 2020 #2

May it be done unto Bernie and his surrogates as he's done unto others. LakeArenal Feb 2020 #4

I agree. TexasTowelie Feb 2020 #10

How can people really claim he's not being vetted? DanTex Feb 2020 #5

That is a love tap...what Trump has by all accounts is devastating. Demsrule86 Feb 2020 #24

This message was self-deleted by its author Fresh_Start Feb 2020 #28

Mayor Pete has more pledged delegates. n/t Laelth Feb 2020 #6

We need to repeat this as often as necessary. murielm99 Feb 2020 #8

No, we don't. Laelth Feb 2020 #20

But where does he win going forward with his alienation of Black folks and lack of infrastructure? Garrett78 Feb 2020 #11

I hear you. Here's what I predict. Laelth Feb 2020 #16

2nd in SC would be shocking. 2nd in NV would be pretty surprising, even given his momentum. Garrett78 Feb 2020 #23

I am pretty confident calling a 2nd or 3rd place finish for Pete in NV. Laelth Feb 2020 #31

It about time! oasis Feb 2020 #9

Nope Callado119 Feb 2020 #12

it's too early to declare anyone a front runner but makes good press. nt yaesu Feb 2020 #14

I find it hard treating Bernie as a front runner when Trump and Republicans don't. beastie boy Feb 2020 #15

That's exactly why we should democrattotheend Feb 2020 #19

Good point beastie boy Feb 2020 #34

MSM is falling over themselves, pointing out how Buttigieg is really close or Klobuchar is "Surging" Beringia Feb 2020 #17

Super Tuesday will determine the front-runner. LanternWaste Feb 2020 #21

"Won NH after tying Iowa". Buttigieg got two more delegates in Iowa and tied NH. krissey Feb 2020 #25

This message was self-deleted by its author Fresh_Start Feb 2020 #26

i bow down to NO man! samnsara Feb 2020 #27

That's a little premature. Miles Archer Feb 2020 #29

I think you might be missing the point of the article? democrattotheend Feb 2020 #35

I'd rather have Democrats vet... Mike Nelson Feb 2020 #30

not interested in joining a messianic cult looking for a savior, thanks tho nt msongs Feb 2020 #32

I'm Down With The Gloves Off Approach Me. Feb 2020 #33