Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: If Bernie Sanders Wins the Nomination, but Loses in November, [View all]MineralMan
(151,410 posts)who voted for Donald Trump in some states, and the others who chose Jill Stein or Gary Johnson as their "protest vote."
We're not seeing any input from those groups here on DU's Democratic Primaries forum - at least not openly. Those people are either no longer here or are taking a less rigid position in public.
Personally, I think that Bernie Sanders has peaked in Iowa and New Hampshire. I believe his numbers will go down in upcoming primaries, especially on Super Tuesday. I think Elizabeth Warren's numbers will begin to rise again, if she can stick it out. I believe that the new candidate, Mike Bloomberg, is going to have some surprises for us to examine on March 4 and beyond.
I believe, at this point, that Bernie Sanders will not be a huge factor this summer at the Democratic Convention. A very recent poll from Florida shows Sanders dropping to just 10% in that crucial state, with Bloomberg and Biden leading the pack.
I think the entire primary picture is about to turn upside down to some degree. Perhaps we had hung it upside down on the wall, earlier and we're now noticing that.
Two weeks and a few days from now, we will have the Super Tuesday results. We'll know more then. There's something changing, though. It seems clear to me that Iowa and New Hampshire will be seen as outliers on March 4.
I could be wrong, though. I mean, I thought Hillary would win in the Electoral College in 2016. She didn't. So, take my predictions with a grain of salt.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden