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Congratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: What, aside from wishful thinking, makes anyone think... [View all]Garrett78
(10,721 posts)30. See posts #21 and #22.
I'm only concerned that his rhetoric will discourage people, especially impressionable millennials, to not support our eventual nominee. But because that person won't be someone who has been the target of ruthless attacks for the last 25 years like Clinton was, I'm not as concerned as I was in 2016.
But he has no shot at the nomination. Again, see posts 21 and 22.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
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Who is the Harris person YOU are speaking of? The OP didn't say anything about Harris. My fear
pnwmom
Feb 2019
#64
He's been very dismissive of "identity politics" and the role racism played in Trump's so-called win
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#55
There won't be 10+ candidates for long. By Super Tuesday, maybe 5 or 6. If that.
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#19
A person can stand no chance and cause harm. Those aren't mutually exclusive.
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#15
I understand the concern, but here's why I don't think history will repeat itself, per se:
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#68
That's not really true. The reason we knew on Super Tuesday in 2016 that the race was over...
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#18
It's not about thinking any candidate is the one. But it's simply not the case that...
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#85
Yep, as I suggested in the post (#22) right above yours, a large field doesn't...
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#120
I'm not talking about where one campaigns, nor am I talking about a general election campaign.
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#45
Of course the first 2 states are where he's likely to do best. That's kind of the point.
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#37
The last question in my OP is the most crucial. Media love can't overcome that.
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#33
Even if Sanders isn't disliked, per se, he simply can't win without doing considerably better...
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#48
I don't disagree. My point is Bernie is still the media's darling and the media
comradebillyboy
Feb 2019
#62
With a crowded field, it possible that EW, CB, KH, and AK split up the HRC and ex-Bernie vote
aikoaiko
Feb 2019
#42
And I responded to your post by pointing out that that's not how vote-splitting works.
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#52
In 2016, there were people who still thought it was a horse race after Super Tuesday. It wasn't.
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#58
It pretty much was that silly. Hundreds of posts from those in denial. I was here. I remember.
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#61
And there's no reason to think he'll get any more this time. I don't know any Hillary voters
pnwmom
Feb 2019
#65
There seems to be this assumption that vote-splitting is a binary phenomenon.
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#66
What reason is there to think he'd do considerably better among ANY group of Hillary voters,
pnwmom
Feb 2019
#74
And the Never Hillary voters aren't necessarily going to opt for Sanders in 2020.
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#125
Frazzled said nothing of the kind, just that Bernie's donors won't determine the outcome.
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#101
When I got that "if I run" email, I fell off my chair. It's as if "if" was equivocal.
George II
Feb 2019
#117
The betting odds which tend to be pretty accurate. Harris and Sanders are neck and neck
Quixote1818
Feb 2019
#79
We don't have winner-take-all primaries like the GOP does. And vote-splitting isn't...
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#91
Just wanted to point out that the one block Sanders struggles with is white men
Quixote1818
Feb 2019
#94
The field will get much smaller after the first few primaries. If Sanders doesn't...
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#96
Some people think he "deserves" to be the nominee because he lost last time
Runningdawg
Feb 2019
#95
Once the Mueller stuff fades, Trump's approval rating will automatically rebound
Awsi Dooger
Feb 2019
#103
He definitely got treated with kid gloves. And the media was actually quite favorable, contrary...
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#114
With two black candidates and several woman running he'll do much worse overall.
George II
Feb 2019
#115
As I said in post #22, I think he'll find it tougher to justify doing what he did last time.
Garrett78
Feb 2019
#123