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Democratic Primaries

CalFione

(571 posts)

5. It's not mathematically possible for us to win 2/3 in EITHER house. Here's why.

Reply to Moderateguy (Original post)

Thu Feb 20, 2020, 11:28 PM

Feb 2020

A) There's 23 GOP Senate seats up for re-election. The Democrats would have to win 20 of the 23 seats to get to 67. In the history of the country, there's never been a wave that big - and there won't be this time. A reasonable goal is gaining 5 or 6 seats.

B) Due to gerrymandering, there's no possible way for Democrats to get to 292 House seats (They currently have 238). A gain of +54 seats - with so little swing districts being currently held by the GOP - is not feasible.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Crazy Idea: Trump wins re-election [View all] Moderateguy Feb 2020 OP

not a fan handmade34 Feb 2020 #1

That's why I called it a crazy idea 😆 Moderateguy Feb 2020 #4

Yes, crazy idea. n/t rzemanfl Feb 2020 #2

Yep. Pass the bong. n/t customerserviceguy Feb 2020 #9

I'll stick to reality. brooklynite Feb 2020 #3

It's not mathematically possible for us to win 2/3 in EITHER house. Here's why. CalFione Feb 2020 #5

Thank You! Moderateguy Feb 2020 #6

Kudos for your reality check. n/t PoliticAverse Feb 2020 #8

We don't need a 2/3 majority in the House Mr.Bill Feb 2020 #7