Reminder: betting markets have Bernie as the *most* electable candidate. [View all]
Right now on PredictIt Bernie is at 58% for the nomination and 34% for the presidency. Simple arithmetic shows that the market odds of him beating Trump are 34/58 = 58.6%. This is the highest of all of the leaders, and it's been that way consistently since before Iowa. Biden at 6/11=54.5% isn't so far behind, but at the very least, this shows people betting actual money don't believe the "Bernie will get destroyed" talking point.
I know, I know, some people don't believe in betting markets (at least not when it's inconvenient). And I guess some people don't believe in the polls showing Bernie beating Trump either.
But there comes a point where you gotta ask, when all the data points in one direction, why do so people seem so unflappably convinced that Bernie can't win?
If I were to vote in a presidentialprimary today, I would vote for: Undecided
= new reply since forum marked as read