Reminder: betting markets have Bernie as the *most* electable candidate.

[andym]

69. That is not the essence of my criticism

DanTex made 3 points (2 explicitly):
1) Bernie has the best chance of all candidates
He was correct given that Bernie had a 34% chance of beating Trump while the others were far less in that data. No need to do more.

2) He implied that when Bernie was the sole candidate his chances would increase.
I agreed with that as Bernie would capture some more of the other Democrats vote (in the other post however, I show that his chances could actually go down depending on the nature of the pools of voters-- but that is unlikely).

3) He incorrectly stated that the increased chances would be directly proportional to Bernie's chances of winning the nomination and that now Bernie would be favored to beat Trump.
Basically, 34/58=x/100 and solving for x. That assumes that every percentage of Democrats he gains would increase his general election chances proportionately which is not correct and certainly not to the point of being favored to win against Trump. That is the point that I and several others tried to make to Dantex.