Democratic Primaries

Fiendish Thingy

(22,482 posts)

11. Bitecofer's model says ANY of our top candidates can win, if anti-Trump turnout is high nt

Reply to uponit7771 (Reply #9)

Tue Feb 25, 2020, 04:52 PM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

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Can Bernie win? Absolutely! [View all] Fiendish Thingy Feb 2020 OP

Message auto-removed Name removed Feb 2020 #1

I ran your post through Google translate and Babelfish and they both said Fiendish Thingy Feb 2020 #2

Message auto-removed Name removed Feb 2020 #5

25% up in Nevada, so here's a raspberry for you floppyboo Feb 2020 #4

Of course he can .. in a landslide! ananda Feb 2020 #3

If sanders is the nominee, trump will win 45+ states and Kevin McCarthy will be Speaker Gothmog Feb 2020 #19

No evidence to support that assertion, only fear nt Fiendish Thingy Feb 2020 #31

Research reveals that Sen. Sanders's electability is based on a polling mirage. Gothmog Feb 2020 #33

Count out Florida redstateblues Feb 2020 #6

Not according to 3 month swing state numbers vs Trump, this is like McGovern we're being warned & uponit7771 Feb 2020 #7

If Bernie gets more votes than any other candidate then he should be the nominee - same for walkingman Feb 2020 #8

Yes, those are the rules that doesn't mean he has the best chance at winning. Sanders can win uponit7771 Feb 2020 #9

Bitecofer's model says ANY of our top candidates can win, if anti-Trump turnout is high nt Fiendish Thingy Feb 2020 #11

That's a big variable vs what we already know; Sanders numbers against Trump in the swings states uponit7771 Feb 2020 #13

Not in the polling data I've seen. Bernie's numbers have been going up in Meadowoak Feb 2020 #20

There are no polling avg outside of Mi Show Sanders beating Trump outside MOE for last 3 months uponit7771 Feb 2020 #21

So what is your solution? I like Bernie but definitely do not what another 4 years of Trump. walkingman Feb 2020 #23

Since America hasn't had a democratically elected republican president in the last 20 years ... uponit7771 Feb 2020 #24

Research reveals that Sen. Sanders's electability is based on a polling mirage. Gothmog Feb 2020 #18

Just read the paper, this doesn't seem like reliable science: assumptions about, e.g., rethugs JudyM Feb 2020 #30

The mirage is the myth of the "swing voter" nt Fiendish Thingy Feb 2020 #32

You really think Sanders would lose 48 states? Fiendish Thingy Feb 2020 #10

No, he'd lose 3 of the 4 big swing states according to 3 month swing state polls vs Trump. uponit7771 Feb 2020 #12

Post your data Fiendish Thingy Feb 2020 #14

Link, this is from NBC latest poll that backs up the 3 month average against Trump uponit7771 Feb 2020 #15

"The best way for Trump to win is through defeatism metastasizing into an actual defeat." JudyM Feb 2020 #16

This is currently what concerns me most Sympthsical Feb 2020 #28

I will, too. And quickly shift gears to support the nominee. Even if it's a quasi-republican. JudyM Feb 2020 #29

It's called a self-fulfilling prophecy nt Fiendish Thingy Feb 2020 #34

Yep n/t Sympthsical Feb 2020 #35

"New research suggests Sanders would drive swing voters to Trump -- and need a youth turnout miracle Gothmog Feb 2020 #17

Was just going to post that Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Feb 2020 #22

here is the problem with that article- voter turn out 18 to 29 y.o. has increased 79% since 2014. Kurt V. Feb 2020 #26

But turnout so far has been tepid frazzled Feb 2020 #25

It's the incumbents race to lose zipplewrath Feb 2020 #27

Fun fact: As late as OCTOBER 2016 Blue_Tires Feb 2020 #36

Did you read the rest of my post and the linked article? Nt Fiendish Thingy Feb 2020 #37