Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: DU Poll: Regardless of your first choice, would you be comfortable with Sanders as the nominee? [View all]Cal Carpenter
(4,959 posts)But Sanders beats Trump at the same or better margins than the other candidates in PA so far. Sanders does well in the rust belt polls, despite what people say. And while, again, the polls may not mean a lot, patterns are emerging and they're more valuable than 'what people say'.
FL is another story, and insofar as there are any polls there for the general, Bloomberg is the only one with a meaningful beating of Trump. But Bloomberg's numbers overall are going down at the moment, and he does poorly against Trump (sometimes the worst) in other swing states.
In any case, other than nominal "swing state" status, FL has almost nothing in common with the other swing states. Florida's polls are waaaay different than the patterns we see in other states and in national polls. And at this point, it's barely purple at best. Not to say it wouldn't be a huge help to win it in November. But to focus on Florida to the detriment of the other swing states seems unwise.
It'll be interesting to see what happens on Super Tuesday when Bloomberg is actually, you know, on a ballot, lol. But I don't think he's the savior some folks seem to think he was gonna be. He'll get some delegates, I'm sure, but nothing that will skyrocket him into actual electoral viability. In my guess, anyway.
My comments about the polls are coming from a close reading of this page, btw: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/elections/
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided