Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: What, aside from wishful thinking, makes anyone think... [View all]Garrett78
(10,721 posts)He's utterly dependent upon doing very well in IA and NH. But there are numerous reasons to believe he will do worse in those states this time around.
Sanders sure as hell better hope he still has much more than half his support from last time.
Again, vote-splitting isn't as simple as you're making it out to be. It's not a simple binary relationship. Where there's Sanders and everyone else splitting the non-Sanders vote. That isn't how things play out. Vote-splitting has a variety of causes and effects. Demographics and regions and perceptions all play different roles in different ways.
Klobuchar, likewise, will be very dependent on doing well in Iowa, which borders her home state. The New Englanders all have an advantage in New Hampshire, but that becomes a disadvantage if several New Englanders are in the race. And so on and so forth.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided