Democratic Primaries

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)

67. The record of SC primary Dem winners who went on to get the nomination would be more relevant.

Sun Mar 1, 2020, 02:31 PM

Mar 2020

1992 (March 7): Bill Clinton (63%), Paul Tsongas (18%), Tom Harkin (7%), Jerry Brown (6%), uncommitted (3%), and others (2%)[8]
1996: Primary cancelled
2000 (March 9): Al Gore (92%) and Bill Bradley (2%)[9]
2004 (February 3): John Edwards (45%), John Kerry (30%), Al Sharpton (10%), Wesley Clark (7%), Howard Dean (5%), and Joe Lieberman (2%)[10]
2008 (January 26): Barack Obama (55%), Hillary Clinton (27%), and John Edwards (18%)[11]
2012 (January 28): Barack Obama (unopposed)
2016 (February 27): Hillary Clinton (73%) and Bernie Sanders (26%)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Carolina_primary

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Huh, despite SC, it seems Sanders is still the frontrunner! [View all] bluewater Mar 2020 OP

Momentum shift. IluvPitties Mar 2020 #1

I agree that Biden will do a lot better than the polls, especially in Cali, Blue_true Mar 2020 #7

Exactly. Voters now understand that something is possible that didn't seem Mike 03 Mar 2020 #12

Maybe but there might not be enough time between now and Tuesday. totodeinhere Mar 2020 #15

Fade the Bern bucolic_frolic Mar 2020 #2

Enjoy it while you can! MrsCoffee Mar 2020 #3

I tend to agree, especially in Cali and Texas. Blue_true Mar 2020 #10

Ditto. Lots of last minute supporters holding out for the momentum of SC victory. onetexan Mar 2020 #24

One overlooked factor is the NPP non vote in the presidential primary. Blue_true Mar 2020 #35

What is NPP? Agree re: NV Latinos. I saw on TV that a number of them interviewed said BS was the onetexan Mar 2020 #37

NPP in Cali is "No Party Preference". Blue_true Mar 2020 #43

Thank you for clarification and excellent explanation! One more qstn: Is NPP same as Independent? onetexan Mar 2020 #45

NPP is the same as Indy. In Florida, Indies can't pull a party ballot, they can Blue_true Mar 2020 #50

I didn't realise California was a closed Primary, but delighted it is. I have never understood OnDoutside Mar 2020 #56

Someone pointed out, the Democratic Party will allow California NPP voters Blue_true Mar 2020 #69

rofl greenjar_01 Mar 2020 #4

The question isn't really if Bernie will have the delegate lead... tarheelsunc Mar 2020 #5

I believe that Biden is going to surprise in California and win Texas easily. Blue_true Mar 2020 #6

Biden needs 15% in CA. squirecam Mar 2020 #9

The problem for Bernie in California is that his lead is being Blue_true Mar 2020 #18

Bernie won the Asian vote in Nevada. I don't see why it should be any different in California. totodeinhere Mar 2020 #19

There is a very large AA vote in both Cali and Texas, Blue_true Mar 2020 #23

Well we will probably see soon enough which one of us was correct and which one of us was totodeinhere Mar 2020 #26

It is only 2 days away now. nt Blue_true Mar 2020 #28

I agree. I do not see any mention of Bloomberg on this thread underpants Mar 2020 #39

One person posted on DU that AA turnout in 2016 General was down by 1 million. Blue_true Mar 2020 #49

I see the turnout bing down as mostly due to the media underpants Mar 2020 #54

Weren't the SC turnout close to 2008 levels? Blue_true Mar 2020 #70

Bernie will lead after Super Tuesday due to CA. squirecam Mar 2020 #8

What's interesting is that Sanders totals did not decline much bluewater Mar 2020 #13

As of today squirecam Mar 2020 #17

Yes. they LITERALLY Updated that in the last 30 minutes it seems. bluewater Mar 2020 #20

If Super Tuesday has mixed results, the forecast should continue to increase squirecam Mar 2020 #22

If Super Tuesday produces mixed results or Biden behind by a couple hundred delegates, the advantage Blue_true Mar 2020 #71

So I assume you now acknowledge that Pete won Iowa dsc Mar 2020 #11

Of course he did. But it's been downhill for Pete since then. bluewater Mar 2020 #16

the vast majority of Sanders supporters were saying otherwise dsc Mar 2020 #21

I wish Buttigieg was doing better. Warren too. bluewater Mar 2020 #30

Indeed they are. More voters have voted for Biden than for BS. lapucelle Mar 2020 #34

yeah... but there is this thing coming up... it's called... bluewater Mar 2020 #40

There is this thing coming up called the convention, and if no candidate has the majority lapucelle Mar 2020 #48

But of the small hispanic population in SC, a large % went for Biden Vivienne235729 Mar 2020 #14

Hispanics in Florida, across the sub-ethnicities are more moderate Blue_true Mar 2020 #25

In southern Florida yes jimfields33 Mar 2020 #29

I live in north central Florida. Hispanics in my area are very much moderate. Blue_true Mar 2020 #38

I believe Biden will do very well on Tuesday. FloridaBlues Mar 2020 #27

You needed to post this twice...six delegate lead...and underwater on the popular vote...the Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #31

Time will Tell. And THAT time is THIS Tuesday! bluewater Mar 2020 #33

Joe's winning the popular vote. More people have voted for Biden than for BS. lapucelle Mar 2020 #32

um, the nominee is selected based on delegate totals. lol bluewater Mar 2020 #36

Yes, I know. And if no candidate has the majority of delegates on the first ballot, lapucelle Mar 2020 #42

So, now you are saying popular vote totals don't mean anything? Ok lol bluewater Mar 2020 #44

That's not what I'm saying. That's what YOU said. lapucelle Mar 2020 #51

Oh, so you DROPPED the whole popular vote thing. I see. bluewater Mar 2020 #55

Wait...what? It's the first thing on a three item list. lapucelle Mar 2020 #57

Seems like a disjointed list. What does the popular vote after 4 states have to do with anything? bluewater Mar 2020 #58

Pivot away from it by listing it as fact along with two other facts and an inference lapucelle Mar 2020 #59

Yep, definitely pivoting away and just tacking it onto a list. bluewater Mar 2020 #60

And you've gotten your answer more than once. lapucelle Mar 2020 #61

You think the popular vote after the first 4 states MATTERS at the Convention? Um, no. bluewater Mar 2020 #63

If BS wins the majority of the total number of delegates at the end of the primaries, lapucelle Mar 2020 #52

Without a doubt, Bernie is going to rack up delegates on Super Tuesday. Laelth Mar 2020 #41

Wow! Biden is only 6 delegates behind? OhZone Mar 2020 #46

The key is who is better at the anti trump vote empedocles Mar 2020 #47

+1, Sanders 3 month swing state numbers vs Trump are worse than Biden's, socialism doesn't help uponit7771 Mar 2020 #62

When was the last time a Dem won South Carolina in a Presidential election? brutus smith Mar 2020 #53

Doesn't matter. A candidate in November will run in FIFTY states. George II Mar 2020 #64

Yes, but people seem to be gripping on this talking point for comfort. (nt) ehrnst Mar 2020 #68

The record of SC primary Dem winners who went on to get the nomination would be more relevant. ehrnst Mar 2020 #67

All it really means is that it's not over yet. n/t Odoreida Mar 2020 #65

Interesting, coming out of Iowa Sanders was behind 12 to 14 (14%) but he declared himself... George II Mar 2020 #66