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Democratic Primaries

beastie boy

(9,293 posts)

16. Surely you dont mean the 538 algorythm is too optimistic.

Reply to Bucky (Reply #13)

Sat Mar 7, 2020, 02:24 PM

Mar 2020

Their prediction is a moving target. A week ago it showed Bernie miles ahead. What I was bringing attention to was the unprecedented turnaround Biden accomplished in less than a week. And frankly, I don't think Bernie can match it. That doesn't mean Bernie is finished though, not by any means.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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18 replies

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Highlight:

FiveThirtyEight: Biden's chances to win the Primaries moved from 15% to 88% in less than a week! [View all] beastie boy Mar 2020 OP

From the text, it sounds like the model is a little intentionally conservative. TwilightZone Mar 2020 #1

But, but, but.... dubyadiprecession Mar 2020 #2

Don't rub it in too hard. musicblind Mar 2020 #11

Any guesses what Biden's chances will be next week? empedocles Mar 2020 #3

With Biden projected to win 5 of 7 primaries on March 10, it's safe to assume beastie boy Mar 2020 #4

Guess at 538 numbers empedocles Mar 2020 #5

I think Washington and Idaho are the only two Sanders is project to win out of the rest sweetloukillbot Mar 2020 #7

I don't think it is likely musicblind Mar 2020 #14

Biden's chance is significant. musicblind Mar 2020 #12

Let's be thankful that 538 isn't modeling hurricane paths! tandem5 Mar 2020 #6

This is the reason I never wager on primaries Awsi Dooger Mar 2020 #8

I think you can model a primary. tandem5 Mar 2020 #9

That's some kind of jump.. possibly Cha Mar 2020 #10

I think that's way too optimistic. Bucky Mar 2020 #13

Surely you dont mean the 538 algorythm is too optimistic. beastie boy Mar 2020 #16

An amazing turnaround. I had almost reconciled myself to comradebillyboy Mar 2020 #15

Fivethirtyeight predicted a super tuesday sweep for Sanders. borgesian Mar 2020 #17

I just hope we have a clear winner before the convention TexasBushwhacker Mar 2020 #18