Did Klobuchar just spill the beans on her role in Biden's campaign?

[Awsi Dooger]

24. The Minnesota electorate is 87% white with 4% more conservatives than liberals

That is hardly solid blue. It is exactly the type of state that we can't take for granted. Hillary got barely above 46% and won by 1.5%.

We can take states for granted if they have more self-identified liberals than conservatives. That includes most of the northeastern states other than New Hampshire, and states like Oregon and California. Washington state now has slightly more liberals than conservatives. Likewise New Mexico.

But it is incredibly foolish to take states for granted just because they have a recent blue history, if the ideological split is not markedly different than the nation itself. The nation is 9% more conservatives than liberals. All of those states we lost narrowly in 2016 are close to the national ideological split.

I really wish the campaigns would poll that aspect and not the candidate to candidate preference. We would not have wasted time in places like Ohio and North Carolina in 2016 if we realized they were going to report such a wide ideological split. Ohio was all the way up to a 19% gap...39% conservatives and 20% liberals. That is no chance territory. Yet we idiotically were chasing that state while assuming victory in so many states that were very close to the national ideological breakdown. North Carolina was no chance whatsoever at 43% conservatives and 22% liberals.

Against an incumbent we have to double down on ideology. It has to be moderate flanked by moderate. Otherwise you are really rolling the dice in those pivotal states. Nobody seems to grasp how extraordinarily difficult it is to oust an incumbent. Only Jimmy Carter has lost in Trump's situation in more than a century...incumbent whose party has been in power only one term.

I'd go with Beto or Klobuchar. They were my 1-2 picks for the top of the ticket.