Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: My thoughts on why the Sanders' campaign is in meltdown [View all]Blue_true
(31,261 posts)vote in the 2016 General. Much of that was polls had Hillary pretty far ahead, those polls missed the maximization of the hate/fear vote for Trump, and some moderate republicans going along with their party's nominee.
My argument is that we don't need hardcore Bernie people to vote for Biden, we need to peel off disaffected Trump voters and get as many of the 1 million African Americans voting this time as possible. Trump maximized his vote in 2016, the only thing that helps him keep more moderate people is a strong economy and it is looking like that won't be the case this time around. Trump has no more upside, even with the hardcore Bernie supporters voting for him, voting third party or staying home. If 500,000-750,000 of the African Anericans that sat out the last election show up (I believe they will show up, big), Biden wins in a walk because he gets states like Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan and likely Ohio and North Carolina to add to the list that Hillary won. Arizona and Texas are possible, but we don't need them and should put resources there at the presidential level only to help down ballot democrats. I believe that Georgia at the presidential level is still slightly out of reach.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden