Do not forget, the goal here is to BEAT DONALD TRUMP INTO THE GROUND!

[Awsi Dooger]

8. No kidding

I have no idea how anybody can possibly believe we'll win this easily. That might be true if the electoral college slanted 2.5 to 3 points in our direction instead of the other way.

Arizona is not ready to flip. Texas is not ready to flip. Georgia is not ready to flip. None of those states will drop our way if the key midwestern states are lost. Nobody should kid themselves about that. All of those states still have too many conservatives at this stage.

Florida is another matter. Biden could have atypical strength there with older voters. The problem with Florida is two-fold: the GOP has prioritized that state and is far more advanced than we are both in preference and turnout They do it all year every year. I've seen it. It reminds me of Harry Reid fortifying the Democratic operation in Nevada. Then in Florida we scramble over the final months and somehow pretend it was an early start.

The second problem in Florida is Hispanic voters and that they have a natural tendency toward benefit of a doubt to the incumbent, regardless it it makes sense due to issues. In 2018 the Florida GOP messaging on Hispanic media was far beyond our version in numbers and content. There is no reason to believe it won't be the same this year. I've read many online articles regarding the quiet behind the scenes Republican push to swipe a portion of the Hispanic vote. It's one of the reasons I hoped Beto would emerge as our nominee.