OK, I Checked !!! - New Fox Poll Favorablity Rating

[Rubyshoo]

Link to tweet

If you wanna check my homework, go here:


https://www.foxnews.com/video/6359528058112

[mucifer]

1. I'm surprised Wisconsin isn't better.

[LuvLoogie]

6. It will be.

The energy in Madison, Milwaukee, Green Bay, Stevens Point, La Crosse... will be high when the kids are back at school and we have the convention bounce. The Dems are going to campaign hard and inundate the state with blue light. I have no inside information, it's just that we haven't even begun to fight.

This from a FIB Flatlander.

[BaronChocula]

15. It probably is

Democrats have outperformed about every poll since 2021 or 22.

[honest.abe]

2. That looks promising.

[Sky Jewels]

3. I predict she will soon also pull ahead in those states

in terms of voting intentions

[ColinC]

4. Put a fork in him! He's done!

Just kiddding!!! Knock on doors, vote, make phone calls and VOTE!!!

[lame54]

37. Not yet - I like mine well done

[StClone]

43. I like'em burnt to a crisp!

The Devil too.

[ColinC]

44. I actually prefer mine rare

Like on fire while screaming

[StClone]

45. Seems like I'm trading TRump Cooking tips with my friend Mephisto

[ChazInAz]

71. Normally, I would too.

But in his case, there's that whole trichinosis thing.

[COL Mustard]

77. Nah....he's too vile

Even for trichina. Even parasites have SOME standards.

[groundloop]

65. NEVER underestimate GQP dirty tricks.....

Me in 2016 - "Trump will NEVER beat Hillary". Well, actually Hillary had 3 million more votes than tRump, but thanks to dirty tricks, James Comey, and our fucked up electoral college he still managed to steal the keys to the White House.

I am quite encouraged, however, by all of the energy I've been feeling in the past week or so, and the fact that Kamala is taking media attention away from tRump.

[Ocelot II]

5. The Foxbots must be soiling their Underoos.

[rubbersole]

14. Probably not as much as orange jesus.

[Tribetime]

7. Excellent love it

[catbyte]

8. Wow, Michigan was tied earlier in the week. It's a relief to see us waking up.

[rzemanfl]

10. I suppose the favorable ratings can add up to more than 100, but the woman on Faux said it was tied.

[sl8]

20. It definitely looks like they screwed up the the graphic.

Not only does the presenter say that they're tied in Michigan, that's what's shown here in the poll topline (47% to 47%) (pdf) :

https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2024/07/Fox_July-22-24-2024_Michigan_Topline_July-26-Release.pdf

[markodochartaigh]

25. Yes,

These are favorability ratings, not people saying for whom they will vote.

[crud]

9. There doesn't seem to be any graphic to indicate who is ahead

You have to read the actual numbers to determine that info. which may present a challenge to some faux viewers.

[calguy]

35. I don't think who's actually ahead is all that important at this point

The important thing is the tide has turned, and Harris has only been the candidate for a week. Unless something unforeseen happens, trump's campaign has already peaked, while Harris is on a fast uptrend.

[33taw]

11. Looks like the convention bump went to Harris.

[ouija]

12. Don-old is in deep

[BattleRow]

55. Stick a fork in him

he's Done Old.

[Joinfortmill]

13. Love it! Trump is a LOSER!

[Warpy]

16. Even using a 25 kyear old picture of TFG didn't help

Margins are too close in too many states.

They should widen up a bit as JD Vance can't keep his mouth shut and pisses off the fence sitters.

Oh, and as usual, the Pox people can't add and subtract, the last one adds up to 104%. Morons.

[DontBelieveEastisEas]

58. It's legitamate to add to 104. It's a favorability poll, not a "which one". So, some find Harris & Trump "favorable" nt

[proud patriot]

17. I feel so energized

haven't felt this in a long time .

.

[bucolic_frolic]

18. 57 + 47 is 104

Something's off

[sl8]

22. Pretty sure the graphic is wrong:

Not only does the presenter say that they're tied in Michigan, that's what's shown here in the poll topline (47% to 47%) (pdf) :

https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2024/07/Fox_July-22-24-2024_Michigan_Topline_July-26-Release.pdf

[LuvLoogie]

23. Favorability is a poll of an individual's stand alone favorability.

You might have a mostly favorable view of someone. Doesn't mean you're going to vote for them--or not vote for them, given why one would view a person favorably or unfavorably might vary from persons answering the survey.

[Dock_Yard]

32. Yeah, but ...

... I cannot envision any hard-right OR right-leaning responder answering that Kamala is "more favorable" in their eyes, when they clearly would NOT vote for her..

Anyone disagree? (responses encouraged, I'm just curious)

[LuvLoogie]

33. What about people that could go either way? They could view both favorably.

It's not a question of who you view more favorably.

[Dock_Yard]

24. Hey, it's faux, they don't math well :) n/t

[DFW]

36. In base Fox 57 + 47 equals 98

They don’t use base 10 like we do

[TwilightZone]

48. The graphic is wrong, but each candidate has his or her own favorability rating.

So, a total over 100 is possible, because they're separate ratings and separate survey questions.

[chicoescuela]

54. Dumb fucks at Fox and their exceptional quality control.

No one watching would question it either. Bless their darken hearts

[gopiscrap]

19. excellent

[fierywoman]

21. F--- ME! This is brilliant! Thanks for making my day, Ruby!

[Dock_Yard]

26. Still a bit early (T minus 100 days) ...

... but the TREND is super encouraging!

Only 8 days ago Joe was trailing in most of these states, PA being the only "good" poll but still razor thin.

So, this has been a TRULY momentous week.

Let's hope the Kama-momentum keeps up at the same rate it has the last 8 days.

Also hoping more embarrassments are going to be found on that slug J.D. and sink the magat duo further.

[Tribetime]

27. How in the hell does he have a 46 or 47 favorability

[lefthandedskyhook]

28. The smile vs the ugly freak

The CHUMP is going DOWN!

[yourout]

29. If you can win Wisconsin Michigan and Pennsylvania it's game over for Trump

[ShazzieB]

38. YEP!!!!!

[Miami Blue]

30. Sweet!

Yes, she Kam 🤣

[JT45242]

31. I call bullshit..no way TFG is over 40% favorable anywhere

Even when he stole the electoral college bullshit, his favorables were under 45%.

That was pre insurrection. Pre felonies. Pre covid.

[TwilightZone]

49. His average favorability is 43%.

It hasn't been under 40% in nearly a year.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/

"That was pre insurrection. Pre felonies. Pre covid."

His supporters don't care about any of that. We tend to project what we believe on them, but trying to apply rationality to the irrational doesn't really work.

[LuvLoogie]

34. I suspect that news outlets are going to try to emphasize favorability, because the head to head is going to

look worse for Donold trump in the coming weeks, while his favorability will remain unchanged--by now (sheesh).

Favorability is something that the Corporate media can drive/change/manipulate in the half-engaged center.

[VMA131Marine]

39. That is the election right there!

Hold onto those numbers and we win.

[ShazzieB]

40. This is great!

But how the heck is Michigan 57% to 47%? Did the pollsters count some people twice?

[sl8]

41. The presenter said it was tied and the poll results show 47% to 47%.

Poll topline (pdf) :

https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2024/07/Fox_July-22-24-2024_Michigan_Topline_July-26-Release.pdf

[DontBelieveEastisEas]

60. It's legitamate to add to 104. It's a favorability poll, not a "which one". So, some find Harris & Trump "favorable" nt

[ananda]

42. Wow! Michigan!

That one had me worried for awhile.

[TwilightZone]

50. According to the data, it's actually tied. The graphic is wrong.

https://democraticunderground.com/100219253497#post41

[DontBelieveEastisEas]

61. I think the graphic is right. It is not a graphic on who they will vote for. It is a "favorability graphic" nt

[sl8]

67. The presenter said Michigan was tied, as do the poll results (47% to 47%) :

Poll topline (pdf) :

https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2024/07/Fox_July-22-24-2024_Michigan_Topline_July-26-Release.pdf

[poozwah]

46. condiments

will he ketchup?

[Prof. Toru Tanaka]

74. No and he'll be mustarded out.

He’ll find himself in a real pickle if he loses the election. And we’ll all relish seeing him get convicted and sentenced on those felony charges.

[calimary]

75. I see what you did there, Prof. Toru Tanaka!

Let’s hope we all can ketchup to what you’re serving!

[Bluethroughu]

47. HARRIS stepped back while VP, AND STEPPED FORWARD as Candidate for President!

She is everything the People want! Strong, intelligent, and ready to bring her procesutor skills while fighting to save our Democracy.

The republican't party are frightened, as they should be. When your issues are how many cats or kids a woman has, tax cuts for the wealthy on the back of the working class, who needs safety, clean water and air, zero regulation on business, food chains or investments...

It's clear Republican chaos or living your best life with a Democratic majority.

I'm ready for the chaos to be relegated to back under their rocks or in the caves of their minds. It does not belong in our Government.

[Silver Gaia]

51. OMG, YES!!! Me, too!

"I'm ready for the chaos to be relegated to back under their rocks or in the caves of their minds. It does not belong in our Government."

Well said.

[Bluethroughu]

52. I think these weirdos are going to lose by a landslide.

And we can all get busy living the life 90% of Americans agree upon.

[Silver Gaia]

57. Wouldn't that be great?

We are all so tired of all this anxiety-inducing turmoil.

[Bluethroughu]

72. We can be engaged with politics in a healthy way,

Instead of the high alert the Republican party has torchered the citizens with. They are a disturbing crowd.

[CentralMass]

53. The Mango Malefactor is going to have to start shilling fir diaper money

[wordstroken]

56. Excellent, Ruby!

Even if Faux has a math problem.

[calimary]

59. She's smiling and he's frowning.

Taken July 23 & 24.

And it's plus or minus three.

REGISTERED voters in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, and Michigan.

MOST intruguing. But it's still just July. Late July, but still - July.

[Iris]

62. I have as little lump in my throat.

This is beautiful

[NH Ethylene]

63. Imagine being a young person taking their first serious look at politics and seeing these two faces.

Why would any of them want to vote for the one who looks like he hates the world?

[progressoid]

64. Favorablility doesn't equal votes. Trump is still beating her in Wisconsin and tied in MI and PA

[Layzeebeaver]

66. You go Michigan!!!

Make it so!

[PatrickforB]

68. Good news this! n/t

[jmowreader]

69. A little analysis of the Michigan numbers

57 + 47 = 104

As we know, the dead heavily favor Trump: during the 2020 election all the "dead people voting" - in reality people who had passed away before the election and relatives voted their ballots instead of returning them marked "voter deceased" - voted straight-Republican tickets. So, the only thing I can assume is the dead maintain their suppoet for Trump, which makes sense because the dead don't know Trump's fixin' ta go to prison for five hundred years.

[sl8]

70. As others have mentioned, individual ratings don't have to add to 100% or less.

Each candidate is considered individually for their favorability ratings. In theory, both Harris and Trump could each have 75% favorability ratings. In reality, in this poll, they each got a 47% favorability rating.

Note that Whitmer got a favorability rating of 56%, down from 58% in the previous poll.

[ancianita]

73. Which means, if it's a Fox News poll, the spread is actually-in-reality bigger.

[wiseowljedi]

76. Kamala is a Jedi

She is like the woman Jedi Master Rey who defeated Evil Emperor Palpatine at last.