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RandySF

RandySF's Journal
RandySF's Journal
November 6, 2016

Spike in Latino participation leads increased absentee turnout in VA.

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Dave WassermanVerified account
?@Redistrict
VA ends absentee voting period w/ 481,683 votes in the bank, a new record. Latino areas in Northern VA leading growth spurt.

VA: 10,799 in Fairfax County voted absentee today, shattering record. 6,676 voted in Prince William County, shattering that record too.

Top VA absentee vote increases vs. '12:

1. Prince William (D) +62%
2. Manassas Park (D) +51%
3. Wise (R) +40%
4. Manassas (D) +37%



https://twitter.com/Redistrict

November 6, 2016

Hillary holds 5 point lead in new ABC News poll

Advantages on qualifications and temperament are holding firm as Hillary Clinton's prime strengths in the presidential election, while weakness in her perceived honesty is keeping Donald Trump in the hunt in the campaign's final days.

It's a 48-43 percent race between the two, with Clinton barely touching 48 percent by rounding in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll. That said, it's her best result since Oct. 26, and Trump has held numerical advantages just twice, +1 on Oct. 30 and +2 last May.

The results in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates, rest to some extent on the one-third of likely voters who say they've already voted. They go Clinton by 51-43 percent, leaving it closer among the two-thirds yet to vote when these interviews were completed.

Even though both candidates are remarkably unpopular, there's more affirmative voting for Clinton than for Trump, a factor that can motivate turnout. A majority of her supporters mainly support her, rather than opposing Trump. That's pretty much reversed for Trump: 51 percent of his backers mainly oppose Clinton, rather than supporting him.

Third-party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein have 4 percent and 2 percent support, respectively, with no clear indication that they disproportionately take votes from either candidate. (It's 49-44 percent, Clinton-Trump, in a two-way test.) While 6 percent of Republicans and GOP-leaning independents back Johnson or Stein (mainly Johnson), 5 percent of Democrats or Democratic-leaning independents do the same (more split between Johnson and Stein.)


http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/qualifications-temperament-aid-clinton-2016-campaigns-closing-days/story?id=43327300

November 6, 2016

Man arrested at rally was holding "Republicans Against Trump" sign

Making the rounds on Twitter.

November 6, 2016

Just saw Dr. Strange today.

I was looking for this film to take me away from the stress of the presidential election and it didn't fail. It's a good movie and refreshing departure from the typical MCU troupe. It MIGHT be too cerebral for kids to enjoy (mine didn't) but it was nice to see another middle-aged lead.

November 6, 2016

Ari Fleischer will not vote for Trump

Former White House press secretary Ari Fleischer announced Friday that he won't vote in the presidential race, reversing his decision to support GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump.

"I will vote for Republicans up and down the ballot. But when it comes to the presidency, I’m going to leave my ballot blank," Fleischer, who served as President George W. Bush's press secretary from 2001 to 2003, wrote in a Washington Post op-ed.

Fleishcer noted that he voted against Trump during the Republican primary, but once the billionaire effectively clinched the nomination, Fleischer reluctantly said he would vote for "Trump over Hillary any day."



http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/304498-top-former-bush-aide-reverses-course-wont-vote-for-trump

November 6, 2016

Iowa Poll: Trump opens 7-point lead over Clinton

Donald Trump has surged to a 7-point lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton among Iowa voters, firmly establishing the Republican presidential nominee as the favorite to win the state’s six electoral votes on Tuesday.

Trump is the top choice for 46 percent of Iowans who have already cast a ballot or plan to do so on Election Day, according to the latest Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll, compared to 39 percent who say they’re for Clinton.

That makes the state Trump’s to lose, political analyst Amy Walter said.

“The bigger surprise on election night would be if he lost Iowa, not that he won it,” said Walter, national editor at the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.

To Walter, the numbers suggest Iowa Republican leaders' support of Trump is helping sway Republicans and independent voters, who are undeterred by questions about his character and temperament. Such factors are critical, she said, because Trump’s path to the White House likely depends on an Iowa victory.


http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2016/11/05/iowa-poll-trump-opens-7-point-lead-over-clinton/93347134/?hootPostID=244ad51ae6af519614281eb8c6904b90

November 5, 2016

Current Electoral Vote Map for the night.

I see Ohio wobbling red for the moment. So hard to tell.


<div align="center"><a href="http://www.270towin.com/maps/y2EwN"><img src="" width="800"></a><br><small><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="" alt="" /> Click the map to create your own at <a href="http://www.270towin.com/maps/y2EwN">270toWin.com</a></small></div>

November 5, 2016

Interesting tidbit from Texas

Cameron County, TX, on Mexico border posts 61,339 early votes, 41% increase over 2012.


https://twitter.com/BobMooreNews?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor

November 5, 2016

Clark County Update #6: 57,000 voted so far.

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Jon Ralston
?@RalstonReports
57,000 voted as of 10 PM.

Now we wait for the tallies...

Dems could match 71K edge at end of 2012 early voting after this turnout tonight.


https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/794772840507543552

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Gender: Male
Hometown: Detroit Area, MI
Home country: USA
Current location: San Francisco, CA
Member since: Wed Oct 29, 2008, 02:53 PM
Number of posts: 58,807

About RandySF

Partner, father and liberal Democrat. I am a native Michigander living in San Francisco who is a citizen of the world.
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