Fremont, CA Officer is Dead

No link yet but one of the Frenont, CA police officers shot yesterday in the line of duty just passed away.

Michigan Guv Won't Endorse Donald Trump, Will Remain Neutral In '16

Donald Trump has not won over Republican Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder.

Snyder told the editorial board of the Detroit News Wednesday that he will not be endorsing Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election.

“I’ve stayed out of the whole thing, and I’m going to continue to,” Snyder told the Detroit News Wednesday. “I’ve got important things I want to work on in Michigan.”

Unlike some other Republican governors and members of Congress, who have declined to endorse Trump but have still said they would support him as nominee, Snyder doesn't appear to be splitting such hairs and is reportedly remaining neutral in the race.

Snyder did not endorse in the March primary in the state saying at the time that he was going to remain focused on the lead water crisis in Flint, Michigan.

Instead of spending time in the presidential fray, Snyder told the Detroit News editorial board that he plans to work to keep the Republican majority in the state House.


http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/rick-snyder-wont-endorse-trump

Bernie Sanders’s ‘factually incorrect’ delegate math

Sanders has complained regularly about the “absurd” system used in the Democratic Party presidential nomination process — a combination of 4,051 delegates elected through primaries and caucuses and then 714 “superdelegates,” who are elected officials, former elected officials and other eminence grises of the Democratic Party who can back whomever they want.

Hillary Clinton is on track to win a majority of the pledged delegates, almost certainly by June 7. But because superdelegates make up 15 percent of the total delegate pool, neither Clinton nor Sanders can obtain the 2,383 delegates needed to clinch the nomination without the support of superdelegates.

But the irony is that without the superdelegate system in place, Sanders likely would be toast on June 7, when six states essentially complete the primary process, including California with its 475 delegates. (There is also a vote on June 14 in D.C. to award 20 delegates.) So Sanders is complaining about a system that is actually keeping hope alive for his supporters, on the theory that superdelegates can change their vote any time before the convention starts in late July. But it’s a false hope.




https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fact-checker/wp/2016/06/02/bernie-sanderss-factually-incorrect-delegate-math/

What Are Sanders Supporters Doing with the Far Right American Independence Party

State-poll snapshot: Clinton 336, Trump 202 EV; Meta-Margin +4.2%

The Meta-Margin is defined as how far the Clinton-Trump margins in state polls would have to change, across the board, to create a perfect knife-edge race in which the median outcome is an electoral tie 269 EV to 269 EV. Today the Meta-Margin is Clinton +4.24%. This is nearly identical to today’s HuffPollster national-poll estimate, Clinton +4.3%. So state and national polls are perfectly matched at the moment. Note that national polls sample more frequently tend to capture swings in opinion before the state poll aggregate does. If Hillary Clinton’s current downswing lasts long enough, it will soon become apparent in the state-poll snapshot.

Obviously, enough states are safely Democratic or Republican that the number of possible outcomes is far less than 2.3 quadrillion. Only about 14 states are in play, for 16,384 possibilities. I use polls for all 50 states and the District of Columbia where available. In races lacking polls, usually in places where the outcome is not much in doubt, I use the result from the 2012 Obama-Romney race as a starting assumption. There has been a lot of talk this year about how all bets are off. However, as I showed a few weeks ago, Donald Trump has not scrambled the electoral map in any meaningful way. The sole exception so far is Utah, where Trump is running over 30 percentage points weaker against Clinton than Barack Obama did against Mitt Romney. However, Utah is so strongly Republican that this is probably not going to change the November outcome.

On the off chance that sparsely-polled states start to look competitive, or if evidence emerges that the electoral map is actually scrambled, I am considering using the Google Correlate method to fill in missing data. Google Correlate was remarkably useful tool in the primaries, and is an attractive alternative to using 2012 election results.

Estimating the probability of a November outcome requires an estimate of how far polls may move in the coming 160 days or so. I calculate a November win probability based on the simple assumption that polls are likely to move as much as they have in past races from 1952-2012. The idea is that state polls are accurate in the home stretch, but may move (all states together) by an amount that can be estimated using the movement in national opinion. Past movement since 1952 serves as a guide to the likely range of movement.


http://election.princeton.edu/2016/05/31/state-poll-snapshot-clinton-336-trump-202-ev-meta-margin-4-2/

Brie Larson the Frontrunner to Play Captain Marvel

After winning the best actress Oscar for “Room,” Brie Larson has her sights on another marvelous role.

Sources tell Variety Larson is in early talks to play Captain Marvel, one of Marvel’s most popular female superheroes, in an upcoming standalone film. It’s unknown where negotiations stand, but sources have told Variety that Larson is their first choice, and that she’s leaning toward playing the part.

No director is currently on board. Marvel, however, had always planned to have an actress lined up early, with the idea of possibly introducing her in one of its upcoming films before its “Captain Marvel” movie bows.

“Inside Out” scribe Meg LeFauve and Nicole Perlman are currently writing the script, which follows Carol Danvers, an air force pilot whose DNA is fused with that of an alien during an accident. The resulting alteration imbues her with the super powers of strength, energy project and flight.



http://variety.com/2016/film/news/brie-larson-captain-marvel-1201786876/

Yep, Sanders will have to disclose the Warriors tickets as a gift.

Bernie Sanders, the self-proclaimed Democratic Socialist presidential candidate who has consistently railed against "the 1%" and Hillary Clinton for her purportedly cozy relationship with Wall Street, accepted his pricey seats for Monday night's Game 7 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Golden State Warriors from a "private purchaser," his campaign said.

Sanders, who has been campaigning heavily in California ahead of the state's pivotal Democratic primary next Tuesday, was spotted at the highly anticipated NBA game, where floor seats — just a few rows in front of Sanders' — were being sold on the secondary market for as much as $29,000 each.

Sanders sat in section 108, row 15. According to ticket prices from the secondary market obtained by The Guardian, tickets in the row just in front of Sanders were selling for $1,648.95 apiece, while tickets in the row just behind Sanders were going for $1,750.28 each.

The overall average cost of a ticket for Monday's game, which the Warriors won, was $960, according to ESPN — making it the second-highest list price for an NBA Game 7 in the past five years.

The stiff price tag, however, didn't appear to bother Sanders, who has made both eliminating income inequality and limiting money's influence in politics centerpieces of his insurgent campaign. Sanders has also repeatedly and aggressively gone after Clinton, the Democratic front-runner, for not revealing the transcripts of paid speeches she delivered to Goldman Sachs after leaving the State Department.

But when asked by the Daily News how the Sanders campaign procured the expensive tickets, and whether they were purchased by the campaign or accepted as a gift, the Vermont senator's spokesman had few words.

"The tickets were privately purchased," campaign spokesman Michael Briggs said.


http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/sanders-pricey-game-tickets-privately-purchased-campaign-article-1.2655540

California Primary Check-in: Have You Voted Yet?

Calling all Hillary supporters in California to check in and see if you voted yet or plan to. We sent our ballots in as soon as they arrived. So that's two votes from the Bay Area!