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JoeOtterbein
JoeOtterbein's Journal
JoeOtterbein's Journal
February 4, 2020
Scrapped Iowa Poll Reportedly Showed Biden Cratering to Fourth Place
Mediaite
By Reed Richardson Feb 3rd, 2020, 8:07 pm
The last Iowa poll before the caucuses, which was not publicly released after its results were compromised, found that Bernie Sanders was holding steady in the lead and that Joe Biden had fallen to a distant fourth place.
According to confirmation by FiveThirtyEight, the poll was going to report Sanders with 22% support in Iowa, Elizabeth Warren in second with 18%, Pete Buttigieg with 16%, and Biden trailing behind at 13%. That result wouldve pegged Bidens support at more than six percentage points below his current level in the RealClearPolitics polling average.
However, the gold-standard Selzer & Co. Iowa poll was abruptly scrapped on Sunday night after one surveyor reportedly changed the font on their screen and inadvertently left off Pete Buttigiegs name from the list of candidate choices. Since the pollster was unable to assess the impact of Buttigiegs partial omission, the poll was considered statistically unreliable.
snip
By Reed Richardson Feb 3rd, 2020, 8:07 pm
The last Iowa poll before the caucuses, which was not publicly released after its results were compromised, found that Bernie Sanders was holding steady in the lead and that Joe Biden had fallen to a distant fourth place.
According to confirmation by FiveThirtyEight, the poll was going to report Sanders with 22% support in Iowa, Elizabeth Warren in second with 18%, Pete Buttigieg with 16%, and Biden trailing behind at 13%. That result wouldve pegged Bidens support at more than six percentage points below his current level in the RealClearPolitics polling average.
However, the gold-standard Selzer & Co. Iowa poll was abruptly scrapped on Sunday night after one surveyor reportedly changed the font on their screen and inadvertently left off Pete Buttigiegs name from the list of candidate choices. Since the pollster was unable to assess the impact of Buttigiegs partial omission, the poll was considered statistically unreliable.
snip
more at link
February 3, 2020
After Super Bowl, Trump congratulates wrong state
Politico
He salutes the great state of Kansas.
By RISHIKA DUGYALA
02/02/2020 11:25 PM EST
When President Donald Trump tweeted his congratulations to the Kansas City Chiefs, he initially expressed his pride for the Great State of Kansas.
The Chiefs are based in Missouri. Not Kansas City, Kansas.
After a late comeback, the Chiefs scored a 31-20 win over the San Francisco 49ers, delivering Kansas Citys first NFL championship in 50 years. Star quarterback Patrick Mahomes was named the Super Bowl MVP.
Trump wrote at 10:15 p.m. on Sunday: Congratulations to the Kansas City Chiefs on a great game, and a fantastic comeback, under immense pressure. You represented the Great State of Kansas and, in fact, the entire USA, so very well! Our Country is PROUD OF YOU!
Within minutes, the presidents tweet was deleted and replaced this time with the right state.
snip
He salutes the great state of Kansas.
By RISHIKA DUGYALA
02/02/2020 11:25 PM EST
When President Donald Trump tweeted his congratulations to the Kansas City Chiefs, he initially expressed his pride for the Great State of Kansas.
The Chiefs are based in Missouri. Not Kansas City, Kansas.
After a late comeback, the Chiefs scored a 31-20 win over the San Francisco 49ers, delivering Kansas Citys first NFL championship in 50 years. Star quarterback Patrick Mahomes was named the Super Bowl MVP.
Trump wrote at 10:15 p.m. on Sunday: Congratulations to the Kansas City Chiefs on a great game, and a fantastic comeback, under immense pressure. You represented the Great State of Kansas and, in fact, the entire USA, so very well! Our Country is PROUD OF YOU!
Within minutes, the presidents tweet was deleted and replaced this time with the right state.
snip
more at link
(little head-slapping emoji guy)
February 3, 2020
Sanders, Warren go separate ways in closing pitches
Politico
One progressive wants to blow up the establishment. The other wants to unite the party.
By HOLLY OTTERBEIN and ALEX THOMPSON
02/02/2020 08:51 PM EST
CEDAR RAPIDS, Iowa Bernie Sanders surrogates booed Hillary Clinton, lit up members of the Democratic National Committee, and proudly noted that people were freaking out that he would win.
Meanwhile, at a canvass launch Saturday, Elizabeth Warrens campaign was busy putting up placards that read Unite the Party.
In the final hours before Iowas caucuses, the two leading progressive presidential candidates are making diametrically opposed pitches to voters: Sanders campaign is leaning hard into their anti-establishment bonafides, while Warren is selling herself as a candidate who can bring together a fractured Democratic Party.
Warrens message is aimed toward more traditional and mainstream Democrats who have fretted for months about the need to bring the party together; many believe President Trump won the election partly because the party was divided. Sanders pitch is pointed at young, infrequent and disillusioned caucus-goers who are exhausted and furious with the status quo, and who think Trump rode to victory on an anti-establishment mood throughout the nation.
snip
One progressive wants to blow up the establishment. The other wants to unite the party.
By HOLLY OTTERBEIN and ALEX THOMPSON
02/02/2020 08:51 PM EST
CEDAR RAPIDS, Iowa Bernie Sanders surrogates booed Hillary Clinton, lit up members of the Democratic National Committee, and proudly noted that people were freaking out that he would win.
Meanwhile, at a canvass launch Saturday, Elizabeth Warrens campaign was busy putting up placards that read Unite the Party.
In the final hours before Iowas caucuses, the two leading progressive presidential candidates are making diametrically opposed pitches to voters: Sanders campaign is leaning hard into their anti-establishment bonafides, while Warren is selling herself as a candidate who can bring together a fractured Democratic Party.
Warrens message is aimed toward more traditional and mainstream Democrats who have fretted for months about the need to bring the party together; many believe President Trump won the election partly because the party was divided. Sanders pitch is pointed at young, infrequent and disillusioned caucus-goers who are exhausted and furious with the status quo, and who think Trump rode to victory on an anti-establishment mood throughout the nation.
snip
more great reporting at link
February 1, 2020
Bernie Sanders' Iowa Army Is 'Effing Pumped' 'WE DESERVE BETTER' Some of Elizabeth Warren's Iowa sup
Daily Beast
Some of Elizabeth Warrens Iowa supporters are worried about Sanders high-energy fan base.
Scott Bixby
National Reporter
Jackie Kucinich
Washington Bureau Chief
Updated Jan. 31, 2020 11:10PM ET / Published Jan. 31, 2020 10:31PM ET
DES MOINES, IowaOn Friday morning, Cyndi Conards home at the end of a snowy road was alive with pre-caucus energy. As Conard, a precinct captain in Sen. Elizabeth Warrens presidential campaign, removed quiche from her oven, Warren staff instructed volunteers how to persuade undecided voters to join their team, handing out door hangers, clipboards and hand warmers, the hum of human activity interrupted only by the squawk of Conards cockatoo Derby Doo.
They were preparing for the arrival of Rep. Ayanna Pressley (D-MA), one of Warrens several designated torchbearers there to help the campaign as the impeachment trial continued to keep the candidate in D.C.
But Conard was nervous.
Theyve done a good job, I will have to say, getting out there, she said of Warrens team. I think his group has too. So its kind of hard to know whats gonna happen.
The his she was referring to is Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and in the dwindling days before the Iowa caucuses, the energy among his supporters has propelled him to frontrunner status.
snip
Some of Elizabeth Warrens Iowa supporters are worried about Sanders high-energy fan base.
Scott Bixby
National Reporter
Jackie Kucinich
Washington Bureau Chief
Updated Jan. 31, 2020 11:10PM ET / Published Jan. 31, 2020 10:31PM ET
DES MOINES, IowaOn Friday morning, Cyndi Conards home at the end of a snowy road was alive with pre-caucus energy. As Conard, a precinct captain in Sen. Elizabeth Warrens presidential campaign, removed quiche from her oven, Warren staff instructed volunteers how to persuade undecided voters to join their team, handing out door hangers, clipboards and hand warmers, the hum of human activity interrupted only by the squawk of Conards cockatoo Derby Doo.
They were preparing for the arrival of Rep. Ayanna Pressley (D-MA), one of Warrens several designated torchbearers there to help the campaign as the impeachment trial continued to keep the candidate in D.C.
But Conard was nervous.
Theyve done a good job, I will have to say, getting out there, she said of Warrens team. I think his group has too. So its kind of hard to know whats gonna happen.
The his she was referring to is Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and in the dwindling days before the Iowa caucuses, the energy among his supporters has propelled him to frontrunner status.
snip
more at link
February 1, 2020
DNC members discuss rules change to stop Sanders at convention
Politico
The talks reveal rising anxiety over the Vermont senator's momentum on the eve of voting.
By DAVID SIDERS
01/31/2020 05:31 PM EST
Updated: 01/31/2020 06:59 PM EST
DES MOINES, Iowa A small group of Democratic National Committee members has privately begun gauging support for a plan to potentially weaken Bernie Sanders presidential campaign and head off a brokered convention.
In conversations on the sidelines of a DNC executive committee meeting and in telephone calls and texts in recent days, about a half-dozen members have discussed the possibility of a policy reversal to ensure that so-called superdelegates can vote on the first ballot at the partys national convention. Such a move would increase the influence of DNC members, members of Congress and other top party officials, who now must wait until the second ballot to have their say if the convention is contested.
I do believe we should re-open the rules. I hear it from others as well, one DNC member said in a text message last week to William Owen, a DNC member from Tennessee who does not support re-opening the rules.
Owen, who declined to identify the member, said the member added in a text that It would be hard though. We could force a meeting or on the floor.
snip
The talks reveal rising anxiety over the Vermont senator's momentum on the eve of voting.
By DAVID SIDERS
01/31/2020 05:31 PM EST
Updated: 01/31/2020 06:59 PM EST
DES MOINES, Iowa A small group of Democratic National Committee members has privately begun gauging support for a plan to potentially weaken Bernie Sanders presidential campaign and head off a brokered convention.
In conversations on the sidelines of a DNC executive committee meeting and in telephone calls and texts in recent days, about a half-dozen members have discussed the possibility of a policy reversal to ensure that so-called superdelegates can vote on the first ballot at the partys national convention. Such a move would increase the influence of DNC members, members of Congress and other top party officials, who now must wait until the second ballot to have their say if the convention is contested.
I do believe we should re-open the rules. I hear it from others as well, one DNC member said in a text message last week to William Owen, a DNC member from Tennessee who does not support re-opening the rules.
Owen, who declined to identify the member, said the member added in a text that It would be hard though. We could force a meeting or on the floor.
snip
more at link
February 1, 2020
Behind Bernie's rise: A $50 million spending surge -- and more where that came from
Politico
The Vermont senator headed into 2020 in significantly better financial shape than his main rival in the polls, Joe Biden.
By MAGGIE SEVERNS
02/01/2020 12:37 AM EST
Bernie Sanders hasnt just been gaining in the polls for the last month. He has also assembled a campaign juggernaut built to last well beyond Iowa and stocked it with twice as much money as his top rival for the Democratic presidential nomination.
Sanders spent a whopping $50 million in the last three months of 2019 to help set up his surge, at least $15 million more than any of Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren or Pete Buttigieg, the other main contenders in Iowa. And even while blowing out his spending budget, Sanders legion of small-dollar online donors pumped in enough money for him to finish the year with $18.2 million in the bank, more than twice as much as Biden, who had $8.9 million.
The dramatic cash gap between Sanders and Biden could prove fateful for the two front-running candidates after Mondays Iowa caucuses. While Sanders has put himself in a strong position in Iowa, hes also better equipped to withstand trouble and still soldier on in the race. On the other hand, Iowa looks more important than ever for Biden in light of his campaign finances: The former vice president has little cushion to manage a dip in fundraising and needs new momentum to fund an expanding campaign, especially as Super Tuesday draws closer and the battlefield grows.
A candidate with significant money in the bank can withstand an early loss, said Taryn Rosenkranz, founder of the Democratic online fundraising firm New Blue Interactive. But Democratic donors are going to rally behind the person who they think is going to win. That first caucus out of the gate is going to be the one who people are surging for, Rosenkranz said.
snip
The Vermont senator headed into 2020 in significantly better financial shape than his main rival in the polls, Joe Biden.
By MAGGIE SEVERNS
02/01/2020 12:37 AM EST
Bernie Sanders hasnt just been gaining in the polls for the last month. He has also assembled a campaign juggernaut built to last well beyond Iowa and stocked it with twice as much money as his top rival for the Democratic presidential nomination.
Sanders spent a whopping $50 million in the last three months of 2019 to help set up his surge, at least $15 million more than any of Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren or Pete Buttigieg, the other main contenders in Iowa. And even while blowing out his spending budget, Sanders legion of small-dollar online donors pumped in enough money for him to finish the year with $18.2 million in the bank, more than twice as much as Biden, who had $8.9 million.
The dramatic cash gap between Sanders and Biden could prove fateful for the two front-running candidates after Mondays Iowa caucuses. While Sanders has put himself in a strong position in Iowa, hes also better equipped to withstand trouble and still soldier on in the race. On the other hand, Iowa looks more important than ever for Biden in light of his campaign finances: The former vice president has little cushion to manage a dip in fundraising and needs new momentum to fund an expanding campaign, especially as Super Tuesday draws closer and the battlefield grows.
A candidate with significant money in the bank can withstand an early loss, said Taryn Rosenkranz, founder of the Democratic online fundraising firm New Blue Interactive. But Democratic donors are going to rally behind the person who they think is going to win. That first caucus out of the gate is going to be the one who people are surging for, Rosenkranz said.
snip
more at link
Profile Information
Name: Joe OtterbeinGender: Male
Hometown: DelMarVa & PA (heading to PNW soon!)
Home country: United States
Current location: York County, PA
Member since: Sun Oct 28, 2012, 09:54 AM
Number of posts: 7,700