Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
Treant
Treant's Journal
Treant's Journal
February 29, 2016
As noted, the poll ended Saturday and does not account for any post SC bounce. MOE is 4.4, so the spread is outside that, but with an MOE of that size the poll is of modest reliability only.
Still, Sanders' Tuesday night may be even rougher than we think. Even the smallest win in MA destroys his New England firewall.
Suffolk Poll, MA, Clinton +8 (Hillary Clinton Group)
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/onpolitics/2016/02/28/clinton-leads-sanders-massachusetts/81078554/As noted, the poll ended Saturday and does not account for any post SC bounce. MOE is 4.4, so the spread is outside that, but with an MOE of that size the poll is of modest reliability only.
Still, Sanders' Tuesday night may be even rougher than we think. Even the smallest win in MA destroys his New England firewall.
February 25, 2016
Clinton leads 49-40 in the first Rhode Island poll I've seen in a while.
Uh, so about that New England firewall that Sanders has? Um...we may need to discuss that.
First Rhode Island poll! Clinton +9 (Hillary Clinton Group)
http://wpri.com/2016/02/25/poll-clinton-trump-on-top-in-ri-primary-races/Clinton leads 49-40 in the first Rhode Island poll I've seen in a while.
Uh, so about that New England firewall that Sanders has? Um...we may need to discuss that.
February 25, 2016
I don't think this has been posted yet--admins, please feel free to delete if I missed it in the mass of polls today!
Mrs. Clinton leads the Lone Star state by +34 (64-30), consistent with other current polls.
The fun takeaway here is that 24% of Clinton's voters have already early voted, 18% of Sanders' voters have early voted.
So, where's that lack of motivation among Clinton supporters again? I'm not seeing it in Texas, that's for sure.
Monmouth Poll: Clinton +34 Texas (Hillary Clinton Group)
http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/fd1752af-cc7a-4b4c-9125-1d26f351cc4a.pdfI don't think this has been posted yet--admins, please feel free to delete if I missed it in the mass of polls today!
Mrs. Clinton leads the Lone Star state by +34 (64-30), consistent with other current polls.
The fun takeaway here is that 24% of Clinton's voters have already early voted, 18% of Sanders' voters have early voted.
So, where's that lack of motivation among Clinton supporters again? I'm not seeing it in Texas, that's for sure.
February 25, 2016
Select the Democratic numbers to view those.
In this poll, probably a slight outlier, Clinton leads 66 to 26, a +40 lead.
Austin American-Statesman +40 Clinton (Clinton Group)
http://projects.statesman.com/news/texas-pulse-statesman-poll/Select the Democratic numbers to view those.
In this poll, probably a slight outlier, Clinton leads 66 to 26, a +40 lead.
February 24, 2016
Let's start out by stating, definitively, that straw polls mean diddly squat nothing null zero jack.
Just to be quite emphatic about that.
However, it's interesting to note the erosion in Sanders' numbers even on a sister site that's notoriously liberal. Just working from the very end of last year (when the Sanders campaign really got rolling):
12/29/15: Sanders 73, Clinton 26
1/13/16: Sanders 65 (-8), Clinton 32 (+8)
1/26/16: Sanders 61 (-4, -12 overall), Clinton 35 (+3, +11 overall)
2/23/16: Sanders 53 (-8, -20 overall), Clinton 44 (+9, +20 overall)
(the last entry can be found at the current poll at the bottom of the page)
Again, this means nothing, but I found the trend line interesting. From a very strong +47 dominance, Sanders has fallen to a scant +7 lead in what should be a bastion of very strong support for him.
Kos Straw Poll (Hillary Clinton Group)
http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/2/23/1489795/-Daily-Kos-Democratic-Primary-Straw-Poll-2-23-16Let's start out by stating, definitively, that straw polls mean diddly squat nothing null zero jack.
Just to be quite emphatic about that.
However, it's interesting to note the erosion in Sanders' numbers even on a sister site that's notoriously liberal. Just working from the very end of last year (when the Sanders campaign really got rolling):
12/29/15: Sanders 73, Clinton 26
1/13/16: Sanders 65 (-8), Clinton 32 (+8)
1/26/16: Sanders 61 (-4, -12 overall), Clinton 35 (+3, +11 overall)
2/23/16: Sanders 53 (-8, -20 overall), Clinton 44 (+9, +20 overall)
(the last entry can be found at the current poll at the bottom of the page)
Again, this means nothing, but I found the trend line interesting. From a very strong +47 dominance, Sanders has fallen to a scant +7 lead in what should be a bastion of very strong support for him.
February 21, 2016
Early SC guesses? (Hillary Clinton Group)
Now that Nevada's behind us and we're doing some well-deserved celebrating, anybody care to guess about SC next Saturday?
I'll put mine in on Clinton +22.
February 20, 2016
About an even split, overall, and no clear indication of a winner.
Nevada Exit Polls (Hillary Clinton Group)
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-nevada-democratic-caucus-entrance-poll-analysis/story?id=37077053About an even split, overall, and no clear indication of a winner.
February 20, 2016
You can watch them come in live here! Results should start showing sometime from mid to late afternoon, Eastern time.
Nevada Caucus Results (Hillary Clinton Group)
https://www.washingtonpost.com/2016-election-results/nevada/You can watch them come in live here! Results should start showing sometime from mid to late afternoon, Eastern time.
February 19, 2016
The party has threatened prosecution for anybody who votes twice, once in the Dem and once in the Rep primaries.
So although my title's a bit hyperbolic, at least it should reduce the ratty behavior a bit tomorrow...if there's one thing Repubs don't like, it's sunlight when they're trying to cheat.
No Dual Voting in NV (Hillary Clinton Group)
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/270051-nevada-dems-threaten-prosecution-for-anyone-participating-in-caucuses-underThe party has threatened prosecution for anybody who votes twice, once in the Dem and once in the Rep primaries.
So although my title's a bit hyperbolic, at least it should reduce the ratty behavior a bit tomorrow...if there's one thing Repubs don't like, it's sunlight when they're trying to cheat.
February 19, 2016
Live feed here, on right now--sorry, I missed the first hour with Sanders except for a very short bit. It should also be on your MSNBC channel.
Telemundo Town Hall (Hillary Clinton Group)
http://www.rawstory.com/2016/02/watch-live-msnbc-and-telemundo-air-town-hall-featuring-democratic-presidential-candidates/Live feed here, on right now--sorry, I missed the first hour with Sanders except for a very short bit. It should also be on your MSNBC channel.
Profile Information
Gender: Do not displayHometown: Lehigh Valley, PA
Home country: USA
Member since: Mon Jun 17, 2013, 12:16 PM
Number of posts: 1,968
