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drray23

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Gender: Male
Hometown: virginia
Member since: Sun Jun 1, 2014, 05:32 PM
Number of posts: 3,520

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looking good in southampton county va


Rural county mostly republican. Yet this morning 33 dems voted in promary so far and just 3 repubs.
I came in and there was a line at the table for dem voters, nobody in the gop line.

They also changed the ballots. Now it is a paper ballot you fill with a pen. It is then read out and collected by a machine. I much prefer that to a fully electronic vote.

the demographics, they are changing..

It has been known for a while that the changing demographics favor the democrats. The country is becoming more and more diversified and the white anglo saxons (I am one of them ) will no longer be the majority in a couple decades or less.
Given that the latino population is increasing fast and that they tend to vote democrat, its looking better and better for us democrats.
At 538, they have this interesting interactive tool they call the "swing-o-matic". Fun to play with :

here


How the Swing-O-Matic works: We started with the results of the 2012 election and the support for each party’s candidate by the five demographic groups. We then adjusted the size of those groups based on four years of population change. When you adjust the vote and turnout above, our model recalculates the results for each state — as well as the Electoral College outcome and the national popular vote — taking into account how much of the state’s electorate the group accounts for.


If their assumptions about turnout for this year as well as current voting trends hold, the nominee will easily carry the country.

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