February 16, 2016

Mother Jones: Sorry, Hillary Clinton, Nevada Is Actually a Diverse State

In an attempt to lower expectations for the upcoming caucuses, she's misrepresenting the state's demographics.

Stinging from its lopsided defeat in New Hampshire and bracing for a tougher-than-expected primary fight against Bernie Sanders, the Hillary Clinton campaign has sought to lower expectations for the next contest, this Saturday's Nevada caucuses. To do so, the campaign has been subtly pushing a curious line: Don't read too much into the results of the Nevada caucuses, because the state is disproportionately white, just like New Hampshire and Iowa.

As I explained last week, Nevada should be a firewall state for Clinton, and that's how the Clinton campaign long painted it. But last Tuesday, campaign spokesman Brian Fallon tried to dash those impressions during an appearance on MSNBC. As recounted by Buzzfeed's Ruby Cramer, Fallon tried to suggest that Sanders had an edge in the caucuses thanks to the makeup of the state.

"There’s an important Hispanic element to the Democratic caucus in Nevada," Fallon said. "But it’s still a state that is 80 percent white voters. You have a caucus-style format, and he’ll have the momentum coming out of New Hampshire presumably, so there's a lot of reasons he should do well."

Campaign manager Robby Mook, who ran Clinton's 2008 campaign in the state, made a similar argument the next day when talking with congressional Democrats:

Is Nevada as lacking in diversity as Iowa and New Hampshire? Not even close. It's actually one of the more diverse states in the country. The population is 9 percent African American, just a few points below the national average of 13 percent. It's also 9 percent Asian American or Pacific Islander, above the national 5.6 percent average. And Nevada boasts a far larger Latino population than the country writ large: 27.8 percent, versus 17.4 percent nationally.


http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2016/02/hillary-clinton-nevada-diverse-latino

February 10, 2016

Why Millenials only pay 7% of all taxes - Check out the Millenial Median Wage Map

Low wages, high student loans and no equity. Is it really shocking that the amount of the total federal budget revenues provided by millennials is low? Uh, no.

http://www.businessinsider.com/millennial-median-wage-map-2015-12

February 10, 2016

I learned three things last night

1. Bill Clinton was sure helpful. Thanks Bill!

2. Most New Hampshire women booked reservations at The Hotel Hell. Thanks Madame Secretary!

3. A lot of young men and women got together last night. Thanks Ms. Steinem!

February 9, 2016

How many live in a split Dem family?

Wife is for HRC. I'm feeling the Bern.

It makes for interesting dinner conversation. I'm still alive though.

I'm looking for sympathizers.

February 2, 2016

Clinton 49.8, Sanders 49.6

https://www.idpcaucuses.com/#/state

February 2, 2016

Don't look now

According to the Des Moines Register Bernie leads in Iowa delegates 21-19.

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/pages/interactives/elections-results-primaries-2016/#d

February 2, 2016

Clinton lead down to 0.6 nt

February 2, 2016

This will tighten

Small percentages in from Story, Johnson, Black Hawk counties where big universities are.

Same with Polk county where Des Moines sits.

Not over yet. Still early.

February 2, 2016

Remember what CoffeeCat said

Early returns are from rural, redder counties favor HRC.

Be patient.