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Feeling the Bern

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Member since: Mon Jul 6, 2015, 01:46 PM
Number of posts: 3,839

About Me

Principle before party is my belief. Lifelong Democrat, but I have no tolerance for blue dogs, tepid centrists, or weak Democrats that feel apologetic to Republicans. The way to win a political war is to fight the enemy using their tactics against them.

Journal Archives

More from these "undecided voters" from Ohio on CBS

Ohio, it's like Nebraska, only more so. . .and who leads the discussion? GOP flunkie and toad Frank Luntz!

On mute!
Posted by Feeling the Bern | Tue Oct 4, 2016, 10:04 PM (0 replies)

CBS's team is completely in Trump's tank. All Trump/Pence all the time. Nothing about Kaine,

and if there is something, it is a slam against them!

CBS is making me vomit, but in China, CBS is all I can get.
Posted by Feeling the Bern | Tue Oct 4, 2016, 09:52 PM (3 replies)

On CBS, did these people watch the same debate I watch? WTF are these "undecided" voters think?

Oh my God. . .undecided voter = moron vote!
Posted by Feeling the Bern | Tue Oct 4, 2016, 09:43 PM (2 replies)

Newest map from electoral-vote.com

I figure this is how it will all play out as the map is now, except MO and GA will flip. I don't see SC staying that close or even flipping blue and even though Trump is losing ground in Texas, I don't see it flipping blue.

Now, let's get the Senate. There are 13 seats up for grabs on the GOP side.

Posted by Feeling the Bern | Thu Aug 18, 2016, 06:29 AM (1 replies)

In Play Senate Seats (DEM = 1, GOP = 13)

KEY
Possible pickup means slim, but a chance to pickup the seat.
Likely pickup means moderate chance to pick up the seat.
Strong pickup means the seat will more than likely flip.

DEM
Nevada - open seat. More than likely a GOP pickup unless the GOTV is there. Likely loss

GOP
AK - Murkowski is in serious trouble. National GOP doesn't like here and she is unpopular in Alaska. Possible Pickup

AZ - McCain is in the fight of his political life. The state GOP has swung WAY to the right and the GOP voter has pretty much abandoned him. He is polling near even in Maricopa County. Likely Pickup

FL - Rubio will be the nominee and he is pretty much despised after being exposed in the presidential primary. This is one for the Democrats to lose. Likely Pickup

IL - Kirk is a political dead man walking. Strong pickup

IN - Open seat where the GOP candidate is running against a Democratic political dynasty. Strong pickup

IA - Grassley is polling poorly, but has been an incumbent since the Civil War ended, so that gives him something. Possible Pickup

KY - Paul looked weak in the primary and was completely exposed. Given the purple nature Kentucky has and the fact the McConnell barely held his seat in last election (as majority leader), Paul is in trouble. Likely Pickup

MO - Who would have thought Roy Blunt would be in trouble? He is in deep now and running against a very strong up and comer. But this is Red Missouri. Possible pickup

NH - Ayotte has a problem she hasn't done well dealing with. . .not appearing too Republican in a state the GOP has really lost control of over the last 20 years. She is polling terribly and running against a strong candidate. Strong Pickup

NC - The anger at the GOP in North Carolina can be measured in gigawatts. Burr might not be able to withstand the voter backlash, especially if his opponent can tie him to the insanity of the state GOP. Likely Pickup

OH - Open seat and the OH GOP is in open civil war with itself and the national party. Trump will depress the GOP turnout and the Democrats will pickup the seat. Strong Pickup

PA - Toomey's reign of error is over. Strong Pickup

WI - Wisconsin's mistake of electing this turd will be rectified in November. Strong Pickup

Final Tally
Democrats will more than likely lose Nevada. So the Democrats would be down to 45 seats.

They have a very, very good chance of picking up Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio, New Hampshire, Indiana, and Illinois. This puts the Democrats at 51 seats.

They have a better than average chance of picking up North Carolina, Kentucky, Florida, and Arizona. I figure of the four states, they will pick up two. North Carolina and Arizona are the two with the strongest possibilities for a pickup. This puts the Democrats at 53 seats.

They have a slim chance of picking up Missouri, Iowa, and Alaska. I figure of the three states, the strongest possibility of a pickup is knocking off Blunt in Missouri. This puts the Democrats cat 56 seats.

That would be a net +8 if this happens. It would be a 52 - 44 - 2 senate (as the two independents caucus with the Democrats in King of Maine and Sanders of Vermont).

Best case Senate scenario is the Democrats sweep the battleground and hold Nevada. That would make the Senate 57 - 39 - 2, which would break the GOP filibusters on judges.

Worst case Senate scenario is we lose all the Possibles and Likelys, lose Nevada and pickup all the Strongs. That would make the Senate 49 - 47 - 2.

It is a better than 50% chance the Democrats will pickup the Senate. The House is another story completely. I just don't see it flipping until the next census and apportionment battle that will ensue after the 2020 Census.
Posted by Feeling the Bern | Mon Aug 1, 2016, 10:01 PM (11 replies)

Trump is threatening a "bloodbath" and DNC election tampering because the EV map looks grim for him

States in the DNC's pocket: 273 (23)
CA, OR, WA, HI, NM, CO, MN, WI, MI, IL, VA, DC, MD, DE, NJ, CT, PA, NY, RI, MA, NH, VT, ME

States in the GOP's pocket: 104 (18)
ID, UT, MT, WY, ND, SD, NE, KS, OK, AR, LA, MS, AL, TN, KY, WV, SC, AK

States up for grabs this year: 155 (10)
AZ, IA, OH, FL, GA, IN, MO, TX, NC, NV

For Arizona, Georgia, Missouri, Texas and Indiana to be swing states this cycle doesn't bode well from Trumpenfurhrer.
Posted by Feeling the Bern | Mon Aug 1, 2016, 07:04 PM (21 replies)

Mulan is liberal propaganda, according to Mike Pence

Never mind that it is a 1000 year old Chinese legend about bravery and family honor.

This worthless turd things it was a liberal plot to get Americans to agree to allow women in combat.
Posted by Feeling the Bern | Tue Jul 19, 2016, 09:04 PM (0 replies)

Official transcript of Melania Trump's original speech FOUND!

"Four Score and seven years ago, a day which will live infamy, we will have peace for our time when we tell Mr. Gorbechev to tear down this wall because Eich Bein Ein Berliner. I have a dream by any means necessary because I am not a crook, no new taxes and the buck stops here. Finally, the only thing we have to fear is fear itself because of rum, romanism and rebellion. Blessed are the peacemakers. Now get your hands off me you damn dirty apes because to serve man is a cook book. Thank you from sea to shining sea."

Trump campaign thought it was too original, so they went with the one we heard last night.
Posted by Feeling the Bern | Tue Jul 19, 2016, 09:51 AM (5 replies)

Because it is important today, Ghosts of Mississippi full length movie. Enjoy

Byron is ever police officer that killed an unarmed black man and walked. The racists don't wear hoods now. They wear badges and wear their racism on their sleeves.

&list=PLTv6d323sn4wDStp2iov1TiuVdMraoduk&index=1
Posted by Feeling the Bern | Mon Jul 11, 2016, 05:05 AM (1 replies)
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