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Attorney in Texas

Attorney in Texas's Journal
Attorney in Texas's Journal
September 11, 2015

Carly Fiorina Makes The Cut For CNN's GOP Debate

Source: The Huffington Post

Carly Fiorina will join 10 of her fellow GOP presidential candidates during next week's CNN debate, the cable network announced Thursday.

Donald Trump, Ben Carson, Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz, Scott Walker, Marco Rubio, Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul, John Kasich and Chris Christie will also participate in the Sept. 16 debate in Simi Valley, California.

CNN revised the criteria it used to select which candidates would qualify for the debate after complaints from Fiorina's camp following her strong performance at Fox's early debate on Aug. 6. ...

The network will also hold an earlier forum for the candidates trailing in the polls: Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, Bobby Jindal, George Pataki and Lindsey Graham. Former Virginia Gov. Jim Gilmore did not meet CNN's polling threshold to participate in either debate.

Read more: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/carly-fiorina-cnn-debate_55f21e57e4b03784e278bfed?jtjzto6r

How is poor Trump going to withstand looking at her face?
September 11, 2015

Clinton's lead over Sanders shrinks as her edge over GOP vanishes

Source: CNN

Washington (CNN)Hillary Clinton's lead in the race for the Democratic nomination has fallen to just 10 points, and at the same time, her advantage in hypothetical general election matchups against the top Republican contenders has vanished, a new CNN/ORC poll has found.

The new poll finds Clinton with 37% support among Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, down 10 points since August, followed by Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 27% and Vice President Joe Biden at 20%. Sanders' support is about the same as it was in August, making Biden the only candidate to post significant gains in the last month. His support is up 6 points in the last month as he weighs making a run for the presidency.
The shift away from the former secretary of state stems from shrinking support among women. Clinton's advantage among women has disappeared in matchups against Bush and Carson. Facing Trump, Clinton still carries women by a large, though tighter, margin. In August, 60% of women favored Clinton to 37% for Trump, but that's narrowed slightly to 55% Clinton, 41% Trump now. Clinton's advantage among women against Trump is fueled by independent women, despite that group shifting away from Clinton in the head-to-head against Bush.

The poll suggests Republican women have consolidated their support around their party's front-runners in the last month, and are now more apt to back both Bush and Trump than they were a month ago. At the same time, the near-universal support for Clinton among Democratic women has softened slightly, bringing it more in-line with her support among Democratic men.

Read more: http://www.cnn.com/2015/09/10/politics/hillary-clinton-poll-women/

September 9, 2015

EXCLUSIVE: SC GOP voters prefer Trump, Carson; most say Graham should drop out

Source: The State

A Public Policy Polling survey found Donald Trump would win 37 percent of the vote from S.C. Republicans and Ben Carson would pick up 21 percent. ... When asked about the state’s own “favorite son,” U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham, nearly four out of five S.C. GOP primary voters said the Seneca Republican should drop out of the presidential race.

GOP presidential primary

37 percent: Donald Trump

21 percent: Ben Carson

6 percent: Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas

4 percent: Carly Fiorina, Ohio Gov. John Kasich, U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida

3 percent: U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham of Seneca, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker

2 percent: Former U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania

1 percent: New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, former Texas Gov. Rick Perry

Not registering: Former New York Gov. George Pataki, former Virginia Gov. Jim Gilmore

Democratic presidential primary

54 percent: Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton

24 percent: Vice President Joe Biden

9 percent: U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont

2 percent: Former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley, former U.S. Sen. Jim Webb of Virginia

1 percent: Former Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee

Read more: http://www.thestate.com/news/politics-government/politics-columns-blogs/the-buzz/article34403052.html

Sucks to be Lindsey Graham
September 9, 2015

For those who do not remember Biden '08, he's the green line:

Biden has been a great VP, but he's been wrong on several key issues:

* eviscerating consumer bankruptcy protections
* banking deregulation
* mandatory harsh sentences for drug possession crimes
* the Iraq war vote
* the Clarence Thomas confirmation

When the MSM touts a Biden candidacy, it is because it helps the news/punditry industry generate content for sale, not because it would help the Democrats nominate or elect a better candidate or president.

September 9, 2015

Nate Silver on 538: "Stop Comparing Donald Trump And Bernie Sanders"

Excerpts from some great analysis:

A lot of people are linking the candidacies of Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump under headings like “populist” and “anti-establishment.” Most of these comparisons are too cute for their own good — not only because it’s too early to come to many conclusions about the campaign, but also because Trump and Sanders are fundamentally different breeds of candidates who are situated very differently in their respective nomination races.

You can call both “outsiders.” But if you’re a Democrat, Sanders is your eccentric uncle: He has his own quirks, but he’s part of the family. If you’re a Republican, Trump is as familial as the vacuum salesman knocking on your door.
Sanders is campaigning on substantive policy positions, and Trump is largely campaigning on the force of his personality. I’m not sure this assertion requires a lot of proof, but if you need some, check out the candidates’ websites. Sanders’s lists dozens of specific policy proposals across a wide range of issues; Trump’s details his position on just one, immigration.
Sanders has a much better “ground game.” Trump, in addition to his ubiquity on television, has some semblance of a campaign operation. But Sanders’s organization is much larger and more experienced.
Sanders holds policy positions of a typical liberal Democrat; Trump’s are all over the place. While Sanders doesn’t officially call himself a Democrat — a fact that might annoy Democratic elites — he takes policy positions that are consistent with those of Democrats in Congress. In the previous Congress (113th), Sanders voted the same as liberal Democratic senators Barbara Boxer, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand and Sherrod Brown 95 percent of the time or more.1 He voted with party leader Harry Reid 91 percent of the time and the expressed position of President Obama2 93 percent of the time. He also voted with Clinton 93 percent of the time when the two were in the Senate together.
Sanders’s candidacy has clear historical precedents; they’re less obvious for Trump. Even the most formidable-seeming front-runners haven’t won their nominations without some semblance of a fight. Clinton’s position relative to Sanders is analogous to the one Al Gore held against Bill Bradley in the 2000 Democratic primary. Sanders’s campaign also has parallels to liberal stalwarts from Howard Dean to Eugene McCarthy; these candidates can have an impact on the race, but they usually don’t win the nomination.

Trump has some commonalities also: to “bandwagon” candidates like Newt Gingrich and Herman Cain; to media-savvy, factional candidates like Pat Buchanan; and to self-funded candidates like Steve Forbes. None of those candidates, however, was as openly hostile to their party as Trump is with Republicans.
September 8, 2015

538: "If Donald Trump Can Win The Nomination, Ben Carson Could Too"


The headline of this article buries the message. The key quote providing context for this headline is "I’d put each of their chances at about 5 percent."

Walk away point: Trump and Carson have about the same chance of winning the Republican nomination, and that chance is a snowball's chance in hell.

Nate Silver:

Carson is a little bit different from the “flavor-of-the-month” candidates from 2011. At least in terms of his demeanor, he’s much less bombastic than someone like Gingrich or Bachmann. And he has a much more compelling life story — it’s not an exaggeration to say it’s a heroic life story. ...I guess I’d put each of their chances at about 5 percent....Obviously, Carson has much higher favorables {than Trump}. He also has policy positions that are much more in line with the GOP mainstream. So, you can imagine a universe in which GOP elites grudgingly tolerate Carson, even if he’s not their first (or second or third or sixth) choice, whereas they’ll do everything in their power to make sure that Trump is not the nominee.

On the other hand, Trump has survived quite a bit more scrutiny so far. Not very much scrutiny as compared to what he’ll face between now and February. But some of it, certainly, and much more than Carson.... We’ve talked before about whether Trump fits into the template of a bandwagon candidate (like Newt Gingrich or Cain) or a factional candidate (like Pat Buchanan). The answer could be: both?
I agree that the most likely outcome is some establishment-ish candidate — Bush, Rubio, Kasich, Walker — gaining momentum at the right time and winning the nomination. It’s still very early — too early to be paying much attention to polls. And if you do want to look at polls, Rubio and Walker have very high favorability ratings, which speaks against the notion that GOP voters are rejecting establishment choices wholesale.

But I also don’t think we should be all “LOL, brokered convention.” It’s not that far-fetched this year, as compared to most years in the past.

Harry Enten:

Let me point out one other big difference between Carson and Trump. Carson’s favorable rating in the latest Monmouth University poll was 67 percent. His unfavorable rating was just 6 percent. Trump, even with improving favorables, was at a 59-29 split....Ben Carson {is more likely than Trump to win the nomination}, and I’m not sure there is much doubt in my mind. Reasons include:

He’s better-liked by Republican voters, at least at this point.
He’s better-liked by party actors. He has a much more presidential demeanor than Trump. He also happens to be African-American at a time the GOP wants to reach out to black voters.
This isn’t to say he is anything more than a long shot, but he’s a trip to the West Coast while Trump is a trip to the moon.
September 7, 2015

GOP Plots Global Climate Pact Attack

Source: Politico

Top Republican lawmakers are planning a wide-ranging offensive — including outreach to foreign officials by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell's office — to undermine President Barack Obama's hopes of reaching an international climate change agreement that would cement his environmental legacy. ... A top policy aide to McConnell (R-Ky.) has had conversations with a select group of representatives from foreign embassies to make it clear that Republicans intend to fight Obama's climate agenda at every turn, sources familiar with the efforts say.... He has had conversations with officials representing both developed and developing countries. Environment & Energy Publishing first reported on his efforts.

McConnell himself warned foreign leaders last spring to "proceed with caution before entering into a binding, unattainable deal” with Obama, noting that "two-thirds of the U.S. federal government" — Congress and the Supreme Court — hasn't signed off on the president's plans.

Republicans have no direct way of interfering with December's climate summit in Paris, and Obama's domestic climate strategy relies almost entirely on executive branch regulations that don't require Congress' approval. But the resistance could threaten to gum up progress in carrying out Obama's policies, making it easier to undo them if the GOP retakes the White House in 2016.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/09/gop-congress-climate-pact-paris-213382#ixzz3l4ZFGoas

September 7, 2015

Dear Vice President Biden: Thanks for all of your great service, but please don't run. If you want

to help the party, please do one or both of the following:

(1) make a speech on income equality in which you acknowledge that Sen. Sanders has made this a theme of both his entire career and his current presidential campaign; help Sanders bring his message to a larger audience;

(2) make a speech on the blatant hypocrisy of the right-wing media for manufacturing a private-email-server attack on Clinton when Bush-Cheney did the same, John Ellis "Jeb" Bush did the same, Scott Walker did the same, Marko Rubio did the same, Chris Christie did the same, Rick Perry did the same, Piyush "Bobby" Jindal did the same, etc.

If you want to help the party and honor your worthy legacy, help the party by bolstering its excellent candidates (Martin O'Malley could use a shout out, too) but don't put yourself in the spoiler position of Bradley '00 or Kennedy '80. Don't go out as a spoiler.
September 6, 2015

John Kasich sits at second place in new NBC News/Marist New Hampshire poll

Source: cleveland.com (Cleveland Plain Dealer)

Donald Trump remains the Republican frontrunner for president in Iowa and New Hampshire. But Ohio Gov. John Kasich... With support from 12 percent of GOP voters, Kasich is in second place behind Trump, who leads with 28 percent in the nation's first primary state.

Close on Kasich's heels is Ben Carson, the retired neurosurgeon, at 11 percent. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush -- once viewed as the most likely nominee -- sits at 8 percent. Former tech executive Carly Fiorina, with 6 percent, is next.

In Iowa, which holds the first caucus, Trump tops the field at 29 percent, followed by Carson at 22 percent. No other candidate gets more than 6 percent. Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, who a month ago was the favorite to win Iowa, sits at 5 percent. Kasich, who hasn't campaigned much there, is at 2 percent.
On the Democratic side, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont has taken the lead from Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire, leading her 49 percent to 38 percent. In Iowa, the former U.S. secretary of state leads Sanders 48 percent to 37 percent.

Read more: http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2015/09/john_kasich_sits_at_second_pla.html

September 6, 2015

Please help confirm which Republican candidates support bigot Kim David and which support the law?

Support Kim Davis Bigotry


"The Law is the Law"


Does anyone see where any of these candidates should be re-characterized? Could anyone make sense of whether Santorum supports bigot Kim Davis failing to perform her job {edit - apparently he's pro-bigot on this issue, too}? Does anyone know or care which side Perry supports?

NB: edited to allocate Santorum to the idiot list.

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